Warriors vs. Spurs Point Spread: NBA Odds, Prediction
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Jeremy Perry
It’s rare to see the Golden State Warriors as an underdog play these days – but bettors should beware of leaning toward the favourite in this one as the Warriors play the tail end of a back-to-back Sunday night against the host San Antonio Spurs. Golden State was without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green for Saturday’s loss in Dallas, and will likely have to make do without both players for Sunday’s game, as well.
NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Spurs come in as slight favourites, but haven’t been a strong play in this situation against Golden State in recent years – covering just three of the past 10 times they’ve given points to the Warriors. But the Spurs have been a terrific cover option at home, having gone 14-5 ATS in their previous 14 games at AT&T Center. And the Warriors have failed to cover their past four games while going just 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road.
With the total sitting at 215.5, both teams come into Sunday’s matchup with solid under trends. Golden State has gone below the number in 11 of their previous 14 games against Southwest Division opponents, and are 7-18-1 O/U in their past 26 following a straight-up defeat. The Spurs have converted the under in four of their previous five games overall, and are 5-1 to the under in their last six games against Western Conference foes.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors looked like they might escape Dallas with a victory, but fell apart in the fourth quarter en route to a 112-109 defeat that dropped them to a pedestrian 4-4 on the road this season. And things don’t get any easier Sunday, though Golden State has covered five of its previous seven visits to San Antonio. The Warriors did take care of the ball despite missing Curry and Green, racking up 24 assists compared to just 12 turnovers.
San Antonio Spurs
When the Spurs are favoured against Golden State, points tend to come at a premium. The teams have gone below the total 12 times with a push in their past 16 games in San Antonio when the Spurs are the favourites. But they come in having lost three consecutive games and five of their past six, and have scored fewer than 100 points four times over that stretch. The teams come into the game ranked third and fourth, respectively, in free-throw success rate.
