The Golden State Warriors look to avoid a rare four-game season sweep for that franchise in recent years on Wednesday night when they visit the Houston Rockets.
NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Warriors have been the NBA’s powerhouse since the 2014-15 season when Steve Kerr took over as head coach. Of course, Golden State has won four straight Western Conference titles since and three NBA titles.
However, the Houston Rockets have been a thorn in their side of late. The Rockets might have beaten the Warriors in last year’s Western Conference Finals had Chris Paul not gotten hurt and missed the final two games – Houston had a 3-2 series lead when Paul went down. In the regular season, the Rockets have won the past four meetings in the series and look to complete the season sweep this year. Since Kerr took over, only Utah in 2017-18 has won even three regular-season games in a single season against Golden State.
NBA scoring leader James Harden is averaging 35.5 points vs. the Warriors this year but missed the most recent meeting, which made that Houston win even more surprising. Clint Capela is averaging 15.7 points and 15.3 rebounds. Steph Curry is averaging 30.0 points vs. Houston (two games) and Kevin Durant 25.0 points.
The way the Rockets are rolling right now, it would surprise no one if Golden State and Houston finish 1-2 in the West standings again and meet in another conference finals.
Houston has covered five of the past seven meetings. The total has gone under in six of those.
Golden State Warriors
The biggest upset in the NBA this season occurred on Sunday night in Oakland as the Warriors went off as 17-point favorites against the lousy Phoenix Suns but lost 115-111. How unlikely was that? Over the past 20 seasons including playoffs, underdogs of at least 17 points had been 1-85 straight up in NBA games. There was plenty of fallout from that. First, Durant left in the fourth quarter with an ankle contusion and his status for Wednesday is up in the air. Second, Kerr could be caught on camera apparently mouthing something rather negative about Draymond Green (naturally, Kerr says all the lip readers are wrong). Third, Klay Thompson had the audacity to essentially blame the fans afterward, saying the Warriors need more passion from their backers. Frankly, the Warriors just look bored right now and ready for the playoffs to start. They are 3-13 against the spread (ATS) in their past 16 games.
Houston has climbed to third in the West and within striking distance of No. 2 Denver on a nine-game winning streak, the longest active run in the league. The Rockets avoided a trap game Monday with a 118-106 victory over visiting Charlotte. Harden had 28 points – his streak of consecutive 30-point games ended a while ago. Harden has been getting plenty of help lately from Paul (10 points, 10 rebounds vs. Charlotte), Capela (19 points, 15 rebounds) and Eric Gordon (22 points). Kenneth Faried has been a terrific addition and returned from a five-game absence Monday with 16 points and nine rebounds. The Rockets are 2-10 ATS in their past 12 following an ATS loss.