It’s a quick turnaround for the Heat in this one.  After a 92–87 win in Indiana on Wednesday, Miami will host a Thursday matchup with the Warriors.  Golden State has been off since taking down Chicago 116-102 at home on Monday.

The Heat are 2-point favourites on the NBA odds with a total of 220.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

These teams hit the West Coast in their only other meeting this season.  Golden State pulled out a 120-113 OT win with Steph Curry, Andrew Wiggins, Kelly Oubre Jr., and Kent Bazemore each putting up more than 20 points.  Bam Adebayo‘s 24 points led Miami.

Even though Golden State has a winning home record and won the first game between these teams, keep in mind they struggle outside of Chase Center.  The Warriors are 9-15 on the road and have been an Under team in 15 of those games.  Golden State is 22-25 against the spread.  They’ve only covered in one of their last five games overall and one of their last five games against Miami.

The Heat are a dead-even 12-12 on the road and at home this season.  They’ve been an Under team in four of their last five games overall, but they’ve actually hit the Over in four of their last five games against Golden State.  Miami is 20-27-1 ATS.  They’ve covered in two of their last eight games overall and just one of their last seven home games.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State’s win against Chicago snapped a four-game slide, but they’ll need to string together some more wins to get into a playoff spot.  It’s pretty tight in the West and the Warriors are tied with Memphis for ninth in the conference, two games back of San Antonio for the final playoff spot.  They didn’t had a great March, although Wiggins was a bright spot.  The Canadian averaged 21.3 points per game in the month on 50.5 per cent shooting from the field.  Jordan Poole also shot about 50 per cent from the field and averaged 18.5 points per game in March.

Ignoring the rumours that LeBron James is already trying to recruit G-State’s franchise player to L.A., as long as Curry is on this roster, the entire offence will run through him.  Curry returned from a five-game absence to drop 32 points against Chicago on Monday.  The two-time MVP sits third in league scoring, averaging 29.1 points per game on 47.5 per cent shooting from the field and 40.9 per cent from beyond the arc.  As usual, if Golden State wins, Curry will be the catalyst.

Miami Heat

Miami’s four-game homestand will give them a great chance to position themselves higher up in the Eastern Conference standings.  The Heat are fifth in the East, but it’s pretty crowded in the conference.  Only two games separate fourth place from eighth place, so this is a must-win stretch of games for Miami.  The Heat won their last two games and allowed less than 90 points in each contest, but they also failed to break the 100-point mark in both games.  Duncan Robinson was the surprise star against Indiana.  He had a game-high 20 points and team-high eight rebounds in the win.  After a slow start to the year, Robinson is averaging 14.4 points per game and 55 per cent shooting from beyond the arc over his last five games.  Miami should also get their first look at Victor Oladipo, who’s expected to make his Heat debut on Thursday.  Oladipo was picked up from Houston at the trade deadline, his second move of the season after being part of the James Harden to Brooklyn deal.

Jimmy Butler looks like he’s back to his old self after dealing with COVID issues at the start of the year.  He had a triple-double in the last game against the Warriors and averaged 23.2 points, 7.4 rebounds, 6.2 assists and two steals per game in the month of March.  Just like Curry for the Warriors, Butler’s fingerprints are all over every aspect of this Miami team.  With the way their defence is playing, the Heat have a shot to beat any team in the NBA if their shooting gets hot.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Warriors vs. Heat?

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Warriors Team Leaders

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 31.98
Assists	Draymond Green 8.86
Rebounds	Draymond Green 7.11
FG%	Gary Payton II 76.9
Steals	Draymond Green 1.67
Blocks	Jordan Bell 2

MIA

Points	Jimmy Butler 21.46
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7.1
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 8.95
FG%	Udonis Haslem 100
Steals	Jimmy Butler 2.08
Blocks	Bam Adebayo 1.03

GS

Points
Assists
Rebounds	Did not qualify
FG%
Steals
Blocks

MIA

Points	Goran Dragic 16
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 9.25
FG%	Precious Achiuwa 75
Steals	Bam Adebayo 1.25
Blocks	Precious Achiuwa 0.67

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Heat Team Leaders

GS

Points	Stephen Curry 31.98
Assists	Draymond Green 8.86
Rebounds	Draymond Green 7.11
FG%	Gary Payton II 76.9
Steals	Draymond Green 1.67
Blocks	Jordan Bell 2

MIA

Points	Jimmy Butler 21.46
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7.1
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 8.95
FG%	Udonis Haslem 100
Steals	Jimmy Butler 2.08
Blocks	Bam Adebayo 1.03

GS

Points
Assists
Rebounds	Did not qualify
FG%
Steals
Blocks

MIA

Points	Goran Dragic 16
Assists	Jimmy Butler 7
Rebounds	Bam Adebayo 9.25
FG%	Precious Achiuwa 75
Steals	Bam Adebayo 1.25
Blocks	Precious Achiuwa 0.67

Injuries

Golden State

Jordan Poole (SG)

Prob Sun Ankle - 15 / 05 / 21

Draymond Green (PF)

Ques Sun Finger - 14 / 05 / 21

Andrew Wiggins (SF)

Prob Sun Knee - 14 / 05 / 21

Mychal Mulder (SG)

Ques Fri Foot - 13 / 05 / 21

Draymond Green (PF)

Prob Tues Hip - 04 / 05 / 21

Andrew Wiggins (SF)

Out Mon Knee - 03 / 05 / 21

Draymond Green (PF)

Prob Sat Back - 01 / 05 / 21

Kelly Oubre Jr. (SF)

Early June Wrist - 28 / 04 / 21

Kent Bazemore (SG)

Prob Thurs Illness - 23 / 04 / 21

Damion Lee (SG)

Out indefinitely Illness - 20 / 04 / 21

Miami

Goran Dragic (PG)

Ques Sun Rest - 16 / 05 / 21

Jimmy Butler (PF)

Ques Sat Back - 15 / 05 / 21

Kendrick Nunn (PG)

Ques Sat Calf - 13 / 05 / 21

Jimmy Butler (PF)

Ques Thurs Eye - 12 / 05 / 21

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Ques Sun Quadricep - 08 / 05 / 21

Jimmy Butler (PF)

Prob Fri Flu - 04 / 05 / 21

Andre Iguodala (SG)

Prob Tues Hip - 03 / 05 / 21

Goran Dragic (PG)

Prob Sun Back - 02 / 05 / 21

Nemanja Bjelica (PF)

Out indefinitely Illness - 01 / 05 / 21

Gabe Vincent (SG)

Ques Sun Knee - 30 / 04 / 21

Injuries

Golden State

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Jordan Poole (SG)	Prob Sun	Ankle - 15 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Poole is expected to dress for Sunday's tilt with the Grizzlies despite a left ankle sprain.
Draymond Green (PF)	Ques Sun	Finger - 14 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Green sat out the previous game with a finger injury, and it is unknown if he will play Sunday versus the Grizzlies.
Andrew Wiggins (SF)	Prob Sun	Knee - 14 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Wiggins missed the last game due to a knee injury, but it is projected that he will line up against the Grizzlies on Sunday.
Mychal Mulder (SG)	Ques Fri	Foot - 13 / 05 / 21	3-0	2-1	+ -
Mulder is nursing a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Pelicans on Friday.
Draymond Green (PF)	Prob Tues	Hip - 04 / 05 / 21	7-1	4-4	+ -
Green is managing a hip injury, but it is likely that he will face the Pelicans on Tuesday.
Andrew Wiggins (SF)	Out Mon	Knee - 03 / 05 / 21	8-1	4-5	+ -
Wiggins is dealing with right knee soreness, and he will not play in Monday's game versus the Pelicans.
Draymond Green (PF)	Prob Sat	Back - 01 / 05 / 21	8-2	5-5	+ -
Green is bothered by a left trapezius contusion, but is it projected that he will be available to face the Rockets on Saturday.
Kelly Oubre Jr. (SF)	Early June	Wrist - 28 / 04 / 21	8-4	6-6	+ -
Oubre Jr. is sidelined with left wrist soreness, and he is not expected to return to the court until the early part of June.
Kent Bazemore (SG)	Prob Thurs	Illness - 23 / 04 / 21	9-5	6-8	+ -
Bazemore has been added to the COVID-19 injured list, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Timberwolves on Thursday.
Damion Lee (SG)	Out indefinitely	Illness - 20 / 04 / 21	10-5	6-9	+ -
Lee is sidelined while going through the NBA's health and safety protocols, and it has yet to be established when he will return.

Miami

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Goran Dragic (PG)	Ques Sun	Rest - 16 / 05 / 21	2-3	2-3	+ -
Dragic is projected to receive a day of rest on Sunday versus the Pistons.
Jimmy Butler (PF)	Ques Sat	Back - 15 / 05 / 21	3-3	2-4	+ -
Butler is nursing a lower-back injury, and it is unclear if he will be available for the Eastern Conference first round versus the Bucks.
Kendrick Nunn (PG)	Ques Sat	Calf - 13 / 05 / 21	4-3	3-4	+ -
Nunn exited the last game with left calf soreness, and it remains to be seen if he will dress for Saturday's battle with the Bucks.
Jimmy Butler (PF)	Ques Thurs	Eye - 12 / 05 / 21	4-3	3-4	+ -
Butler sustained an eye injury in the previous game, and it is unknown if he will take on the 76ers on Thursday.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Ques Sun	Quadricep - 08 / 05 / 21	6-3	5-4	+ -
Iguodala is tending to a quadricep injury, and it is unknown if he will be in the lineup for Sunday's game against he Celtics.
Jimmy Butler (PF)	Prob Fri	Flu - 04 / 05 / 21	7-4	7-4	+ -
Butler missed the last game due to flu-like symptoms, but it is expected that he will face the Timberwolves on Friday.
Andre Iguodala (SG)	Prob Tues	Hip - 03 / 05 / 21	7-4	7-4	+ -
Iguodala is dealing with a hip injury, but it is likely that he will suit up against the Mavericks on Tuesday.
Goran Dragic (PG)	Prob Sun	Back - 02 / 05 / 21	8-4	8-4	+ -
Dragic is bothered by a back injury, but he is projected to lace up for Sunday's game against the Hornets.
Nemanja Bjelica (PF)	Out indefinitely	Illness - 01 / 05 / 21	8-4	9-4	+ -
Bjelica is sidelined due to a stomach illness, and it is unclear when he will be available to return to the lineup.
Gabe Vincent (SG)	Ques Sun	Knee - 30 / 04 / 21	8-4	9-4	+ -
Vincent is tending to a knee injury, and it is unknow if he will play in Sunday's game versus the Hornets.