Suns vs. Warriors Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 11, 2021

Mikal Bridges has been Phoenix's best player over their last five games, averaging 17.6 points on 59.3 per cent shooting in that time.  In the first matchup of the season against Golden State, Bridges finished with 20 points and six assists.

Phoenix
51-21
AT
May 11, 2021, 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
Golden State
39-33
Pointspread -4.5 -105
Moneyline -192
Over / Under o +231.5

55%

Betting Action

45%

Pointspread +4.5 -115
Moneyline +160
Over / Under u +231.5

55%

Betting Action

45%

The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors will battle it out for the final time in the regular season on Tuesday night in San Francisco.  The Warriors were blown out by Phoenix twice this season, but Golden State is hoping home court will help them turn things around.

Phoenix is a 5.5-point favourite to win on the NBA odds.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Suns have had an incredible season and they come into Tuesday with six wins in their last eight games.  They’ve been a great cover option, going 41-26-1 against the spread this year, but they’ve only covered in two of their last seven road games.  Points have been plentiful for Phoenix, as they’ve hit the Over in six straight games.

Golden State has been much better at home than on the road this year and they come into Tuesday with seven wins in their last eight home games. They’re only 34-35 ATS overall, but it’s worth noting that they have covered in four of their last five games.  The total has gone Under in eight of the Warriors’ last 12 games.

Phoenix Suns

After dropping two of their last three games, Phoenix can’t afford another loss if they want to win top seed in the Western Conference.  A 123-110 loss to the Lakers on Sunday, put the Suns 1.5 games back of Utah for that No. 1 West seed.  Chris Paul‘s playmaking ability was once again on display against L.A.  Despite the loss, Paul finished with 10 assists and has recorded double-digit dimes in four of his last five games.  CP3 is averaging 17.6 points and 9.5 assists over his last 10 games.

Mikal Bridges and Devin Booker could be big factors in this game.  Bridges has been Phoenix’s best player over the last five games, averaging 17.6 points on 59.3 per cent shooting over that time.  In the first matchup of the season against Golden State, Bridges finished with 20 points and six assists.  Although Booker has struggled from the field in his last two games, he was averaging 30.6 points on 53.5 per cent shooting in the seven games prior to that.  This team’s results tend to be dictated by Booker, so look for the Suns to run the offence through him.

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors are cruising during their home stand.  They’ve won three straight games and five of their last six.  Golden State will, however, miss Kelly Oubre Jr. in this game.  Oubre Jr. is dealing with a wrist issue, so Kent Bazemore will start in his place.  Bazemore was great against Utah on Monday, finishing with 19 points on 50 per cent shooting.  Draymond Green has been a force for the Warriors in May.  Through the month, Green is averaging 9.7 points, 10.7 assists, and 9.3 rebounds over six games.

It’s no surprise that Steph Curry will be the biggest factor for Golden State on Tuesday.  Curry put up a team-high 36 points against Utah on Monday and is averaging a league-high 31.9 points per game.  The two-time MVP has put up 30 or more points in 20 of his last 22 games and averaged 37.2 points per game during that stretch.  In the only other game he played against Phoenix this year, Curry finished with 27 points on 50 per cent shooting.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Suns vs. Warriors?

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