Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Apr 22, 2023

NBA: Playoffs-Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves

Sunday is do-or-die for the Minnesota Timberwolves season. Down 0-3 to the top-seeded Denver Nuggets, the Wolves host Game 4 and will try to live to play another game.

Denver
53-29
AT
April 23, 2023, 9:30 PM ET
Target Center
Minnesota
42-40
Pointspread -4 -110
Moneyline -180
Over / Under o +222.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Pointspread +4 -110
Moneyline +150
Over / Under u +222.5

85%

Betting Action

15%

Game 3 felt like it was last call for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Trailing 0-2 in the series, they needed to protect home court to get back into the series. Instead, Denver had a few great performances across their roster, took Game 3 and is now a win away from advancing. The Minnesota Timberwolves look like they have nothing left after yet another disappointing defeat. Will the series end in Game 4 or can Minnesota muster an effort to force a Game 5?
The basketball savants have deemed the Nuggets as -3 favourites on the NBA odds.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The Nuggets have covered four straight overall and are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played on the road. When it comes to the total, the under has hit in nine of their last 11 games when their opponent scores over 100 points in the previous outing. However, the over has hit in five of their last six games against teams with a losing record, which is Minnesota’s current predicament after losing three straight.

The Timberwolves are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played at home when going up against a team with a losing road record on the season. They are also just 1-6 ATS in their past seven games played when getting just one day of rest. The total has seen the over hit in eight of their last 10 games when coming off a loss.

Denver Nuggets

Denver knew a Game 3 win would crush the Timberwolves’ spirit and buoy their push for a deep playoff run, and they played motivated to achieve that. Nikola Jokic, in particular, spoke out about what they thought about Minnesota after picking up a 3-0 series lead. He said, “We didn’t want to give them life. We wanted to be the aggressor.  We wanted to punch them first.”

Jokic dropped 20 points, 11 rebounds, and 12 assists in a triple-double performance on the road. Michael Porter Jr. pitched in 25 points and nine rebounds. Minnesota’s defense has just crumbled, giving up 120 and 122 in the last two contests.

The Nuggets really shined when the benches came in during Game 3. Denver’s scored a total of 29 points while the Timberwolves’ unit only produced 10. While there were some question marks about the Nuggets going into this series (they were 7-10 in their final 17 games to end the season), they’ve been as impressive as any team in the opening round.

Minnesota Timberwolves

At some point, you have to feel for Anthony Edwards. The star guard dropped a franchise playoff record 41 points in Game 2, then dropped another 36 in Game 3 and the Timberwolves still weren’t close. Throughout the series, Edwards has scored a total of 95 points and yet the Timberwolves have lost all three games. He just can’t consistently get support from everyone else.

Karl-Anthony Towns had struggled early in the series but finally had a good performance in Game 3. He shot eight-for-27 in the first two contests of this series before hitting 10-of-17 in Game 3. The bench has done absolutely nothing of late, though, scoring 27 points in the last two games. They had 28 in Game 1 but that was mostly due to garbage time efforts when the team was getting blown out. Minnesota needs Edwards, Towns and Rudy Gobert to have huge games as well as get help from the bench just to extend this series. It seems like morale is low at this point, so don’t bank on this happening.

Game 4 Prediction: Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

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