Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4 Prediction, NBA Odds

Edgar Chaput | Updated May 21, 2023

NBA: Playoffs-Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers

The Los Angeles Lakers host the Nuggets for Monday's Game 4 but are down 3-0 in the series. Denver looks to make its first NBA Finals appearance.

May 22, 2023, 8:30 PM ET
Staples Center
L.A. Lakers
Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +140
Over / Under o +225.5


Betting Action


Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -166
Over / Under u +225.5


Betting Action


Unless the Lakers have something special saved for Monday night, it will be the end of the road for their 2022-2023 campaign. The Nuggets have proven three times already that, however often and hard the Lakers punch, Denver knows how to fight back and fight better. Look no further than the 119-108 Game 3 win.

With respect to the fourth tilt, the NBA odds think L.A. will live to play another day. They’re pegged as slight -3.0 favourites. The total is tabulated at 224.5.

Nuggets vs. Lakers NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

Denver is a -5000 favourite to win the Western Conference final and that won’t catch anyone by surprise (previously -500). The Lakers lag far, far behind at +971 (previously +317). That’s what a 3-0 series lead will get you – or a 0-3 series deficit. Almost every time an NBA playoff series enters a fourth match with this score, analysts bring up the fact that no team in the league’s history has ever climbed its way out of such a hole and win a series.

Monday night will be huge for the Nuggets. First of all the franchise has never partaken in an NBA Finals. Second, a sweep of an impressive Lakers squad would be quite an accomplishment given what’s at stake. They’ve won in all sorts of ways during the regular season, the first two playoff rounds, and thus far in the Western final. Of note, Game 3 was the only win in this series for which the Nuggets covered the spread.

Monday night will also be huge for the Lakers. Namely, they want their season to continue, at least for a couple of days. But a win would do more than that. Do they have a kitchen sink in them for Game 4? Game 3 was the first time in their playoff run – play-in game excluded – for which they didn’t cover the spread at home.

Denver Nuggets

A case can be made that Game 3 was the most impressive win of the three. The single most important reason is that it was the first time that they didn’t allow L.A. to ever have a considerably extended period of success.

Unlike in the previous two contests, the Nuggets always felt like the club in control of the game’s flow. The versatility of Denver’s strength can be discerned from the fact that they won the game by 11 despite getting torched in the paint 52-38. But they shot better overall (50.0 per cent to L.A. 45.2) and from distance (41.5 to 31.3). Jamal Murray went ballistic in the first half, scoring 30 points. He cooled off in the second half, finishing with 37, but that’s when Nikola Jokic woke up. Three tepid quarters morphed into a 15-point final period (24 on the night).

Once again, Michael Porter Jr. (14 points) and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (17 points), and Bruce Brown (15 points) proved their value as supporting players.

Los Angeles Lakers

Conversely, despite returning home – where the Lakers had been excellent this spring – Game 3 was probably the most disappointing in the series. Not insultingly so. The game was relatively close, but they rarely, if ever, looked like the better side.

The magical fourth quarter of Game 1 and strong first half of Game 2 were nowhere to be found. When three starters surpass the 20-point mark – LeBron James (23), Anthony Davis (28), and Austin Reaves (23) – a team should have a good chance of winning, yet L.A. lost by 11. The bench failed to bring a spark this time. Even Rui Hachimura, despite tallying 13 points, wasn’t as efficient as in Game 2.  Forgive the tired expression, but it is what it is: the shooting wasn’t good and when it mattered most (fourth quarter), Denver just took over and was the better team. LeBron James’ leadership and experience have never been more important than entering Game 4.

Game 4 Prediction: Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Lakers?

NBA Predictions