Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Prediction, NBA Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Nov 29, 2021

The Miami Heat's stingy defence is ranked second-best in the NBA as they hold opponents to just 102.5 points per game.

Denver
22-20
AT
November 29, 2021, 7:30 PM ET
American Airlines Arena
Miami
28-16
Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +130
Over / Under o +205.5

34%

Betting Action

66%

Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -156
Over / Under u +205.5

34%

Betting Action

66%

The Denver Nuggets are headed for the warmer weather of South Beach as they visit the Miami Heat Monday night.  Denver dropped their sixth straight game with a 120-109 loss against the Bucks on Friday as the Nuggets continue to struggle without reigning NBA MVP Nikola Jokic.  The Heat are coming off a 107-104 win in Chicago on Saturday and they sit in second place in the Eastern Conference standings, one game back of Brooklyn.

Miami is a heavy 7.5-point favourite to win on the NBA odds, with a total of 207.5.

Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Betting Odds

Denver has controlled the recent meetings between these teams, winning each of the last three games by at least 17 points, including a 113-96 dub on Nov. 8.  The total has gone Over in three of the last four games.  Sports Interaction bettors are split down the middle between the Heat and Nuggets in this game.  The total is more definitive, with about 72 per cent of bettors taking the Over.

The Nuggets are struggling without Jokic and have dropped all four games he has missed.  Denver is 7-12 against the spread this year and they’ve failed to cover in six straight games.  The total has gone Over in six of the Nuggets’ last seven games.

Miami has been tough to beat this year and come into this contest with a 6-2 record in their last eight games.  They’re 13-7 ATS overall, covering in six of seven home games.  The total has gone Over in seven of the Heat’s last 10 games.

Denver Nuggets

With Jokic out of the lineup, Denver relied on balanced scoring on Friday, but it wasn’t enough.  Aaron Gordon led the team with 18 points and nine rebounds.  Will Barton also had nine boards and added 17 points.  Five Nuggets’ players finished with at least 15 points in the game.

As has been the case for the last couple of games, the status of Jokic is the biggest factor in this contest.  Jokic, who hasn’t played since Nov. 18 due to a wrist injury, averages team-highs in points per game (26.4), rebounds (13.6), assists (6.4), steals (1.2) and blocks (0.9).  He is listed as questionable for Monday.  Canadian Jamal Murray remains out of the lineup until sometime in the spring after suffering a torn ACL last season.  There are also fears that Michael Porter Jr. could miss the rest of the season because of a nerve issue in his back, although there’s been no official word on a timetable for his return.

Bones Hyland has missed the last two games with an ankle injury and is listed as questionable for Monday.  P.J. Dozier is done for the year after tearing his ACL last week.

Miami Heat

Miami’s fourth quarter comeback made the difference for a close win in Chicago on Saturday.  Gabe Vincent had a team-high 20 points to go along with two rebounds and five assists.  Former Toronto Raptor Kyle Lowry finished with 19 points, five rebounds and six assists, while Jimmy Butler added 18 points, four rebounds and five assists.  Butler average a team-high 23.6 ppg and 2.1 steals.  He is listed as questionable on Monday because of a tailbone injury.  Lowry is averaging 12.3 ppg and a team-high 7.4 assists.

The Heat have the NBA’s second-best defence as they hold opponents to an average of 102.5 points per game.  Victor Oladipo (knee) is not expected to make his season debut until sometime in December.  Markieff Morris (neck) is out of the lineup indefinitely.  Tyler Herro (illness) is questionable for Monday.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Heat?

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