Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Andrew Rogers | Updated Apr 27, 2021

There should be a lot of star power on the court as Luka Doncic leads the Mavs into San Francisco to face Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors.

Dallas
42-30
AT
April 27, 2021, 9:30 PM ET
Chase Center
Golden State
39-33
Pointspread +4 -115
Moneyline +140
Over / Under o +226

33%

Betting Action

67%

Pointspread -4 -105
Moneyline -167
Over / Under u +226

33%

Betting Action

67%

The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors are positioned to possibly meet in the Western Conference play-in round – which makes Tuesday’s encounter at Chase Center an intriguing one. The Mavericks enter the proceedings clinging to the final automatic postseason berth in the West, but will be in tough against a surging Warriors team that has won back-to-back games to close in on a top-eight seed, and home-court advantage in the play-in round.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Being a home underdog has suited the Warriors just fine this month: They’re a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread in that scenario, with all three of those victories coming against teams in the top-3 in their respective conferences. That streak coincides with a rough run of games as an away favourite by the Mavericks, who have failed to cover the last three times in that situation with outright losses to Houston and Sacramento over that stretch.

The total for Tuesday’s encounter is in the mid-220s on the NBA odds – and while the public might gravitate toward the Over as it usually does, there are compelling reasons to consider the other side of the number. The Mavericks have been a terrific Under play in recent weeks with a 6-12 O/U mark over their past 18 games, while the Warriors have gone below the number in five of their last six. Dallas is 25-35 O/U for the season, while Golden State is 24-36-1.

Dallas Mavericks

Handicapping this game from the Mavericks’ side might be a challenging task given that Dallas might opt to rest several players on the tail end of a back-to-back. Most notably, superstar point guard Luka Doncic is considered questionable after playing through a sore left elbow to score 25 points in Monday’s 113-106 loss to the Sacramento Kings. The Mavericks might also be be without big man Kristaps Porzingis, who is dealing with a sprained ankle.

Golden State Warriors

There might not be a Steph Curry point prop high enough for some bettors to consider taking the Under at this point. Curry has been positively electric for the Warriors so far in April, averaging an incredible 38.1 points while setting an NBA record for the most made 3-pointers in a month (85). More importantly, his scoring exploits have led the Warriors to an 8-5 SU record for the month, moving them into position to make some noise in the postseason.

NBA Prediction: Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Warriors?

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