Celtics vs. Nuggets Prediction: NBA Odds, Point Spread

Jeremy Perry | Updated Apr 11, 2021

Jayson Tatum, Celtics, 2021

These teams have finished below the total in four of their previous five head-to-head encounters, while the Celtics are riding a 7-1 Under streak over their last eight games.

Boston
35-33
AT
April 11, 2021, 3:00 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Denver
44-24
Pointspread +3.5 -110
Moneyline +143
Over / Under o +220.5

38%

Betting Action

62%

Pointspread -3.5 -110
Moneyline -172
Over / Under u +220.5

38%

Betting Action

62%

The Boston Celtics are gradually putting some distance between themselves and the Eastern Conference postseason cutoff – but that task becomes a lot tougher Sunday afternoon as they visit the streaking Denver Nuggets. The Celtics have won back-to-back games to move into seventh spot in the East, but are six-point underdogs against a Nuggets team that has reeled off eight consecutive victories to strengthen its hold on fourth place in the Western Conference.

NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Nuggets can finally climb above the .500 mark against the spread with a successful cover Sunday, having gone 6-2 ATS over the course of their lengthy winning streak. They also come in having won their last six games at Ball Arena, with four of those triumphs coming by double digits. The Celtics, meanwhile, have won just four of their previous 16 visits to Denver but are an impressive 4-2 ATS in their last six trips to the Mile High City.

The total for this matinee showdown comes in just below the mid-220s, and savvy bettors will be looking to hit the Over given Denver’s 30-21-1 O/U mark for the season (along with a 16-10-1 O/U record at home). But these teams have finished below the total in four of their previous five head-to-head encounters, while the Celtics are riding a 7-1 Under streak over their last eight games. Boston is 26-27 O/U so far this season.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics face a significant positional mismatch in this one (more on that in the Nuggets section), but they’ll look to counter that with another sensational performance from forward Jayson Tatum. He’s coming off a career-best 53 points in an overtime shootout win over the Minnesota Timberwolves, becoming the youngest player in Celtics history to score 50+ points. Tatum was held to 21 points on 6-of-18 shooting in the previous meeting Feb. 16.

Denver Nuggets

One of the reasons the Nuggets are comfortably favoured in this one: The dominance of Nikola Jokic, who is primed for another huge game Sunday afternoon. Jokic averages 26.3 points, 10.9 rebounds and 8.8 assists for the season, and erupted for 43 points the last time these teams met in mid-February. The Celtics did, however, neutralize Jokic in other areas, limiting him to just six rebounds and five assists in the 112-99 triumph.

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Nuggets?

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