NASCAR Odds & Predictions: The Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500

The Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 marks the fourth major NASCAR series race since the Covid-19 pandemic stopped competition. Last weekend, and for the second straight Sunday, Brad Keselowski took the checkered flag, winning the Super Market Heroes 500 (the week before the Coca-Cola 600) Keselowski took the lead late after a crash between Chase Elliott and Joey Logano. It was his 32^nd career Cup Series win.

Kevin Harvick +400
Chase Elliott +600
Kyle Busch +625
Brad Keselowski +650
Joey Logano +750
Alex Bowman +750
Martin Truex Jr +800
Denny Hamlin +1000
Ryan Blaney +1500
Kurt Busch +1800
Jimmie Johnson +1800
Field +2000
Clint Bowyer +2000
Erik Jones +2200
William Byron +2200
Tyler Reddick +5000
Aric Almirola +5000
Matt DiBenedetto +5000
Mat Kenseth +5000
Ryan Newman +7500
Austin Dillon +10000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +10000

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Racing Analysis

The Folds of Honor – QuikTrip 500 is 500.5 miles/325 lap NASCAR Cup Series points race held at the Atlanta Motor Speedway in Hampton, Georgia.

Speaking of hot streak, not only is Brad Keselowski a back to back Sunday winner entering the race, he is also a two-time winner of this event and the defending champion. He is currently paying a respectable +650 to do it again on Sunday afternoon.

Season points leader Kevin Harvick is the favourite to win this Sunday at Atlanta. Harvick has eight top 10 finishes this season and leads all drivers in most laps led this season with 391. Harvick is chalked at +400 at Sports Interaction.

Veteran Jimmie Johnson has won this race four times in his career. The last time was back-to-back victories in 2015 and 2016. He is currently paying +1600 at SIA.

If you are looking for a long shot, why not circle Aric Almirola at +5000. Double A hasn’t won a race this season, but has three top ten finishes in nine starts. Last season he won the pole position in this race, but finished a distant eighth place. Perhaps revenge could be on his mind?

Prediction

Many Nascar insiders thought Chase Elliott could have won last week’s race, but he is the only one to blame for the 22^rd place finish. Elliot wrecked Joey Logano with three laps remaining at Bristol, opening the door for the Keselowski’s win.

Prior to that race, Elliott finished second at the Cup series race in Charlotte, first in both the truck series and Cup series races on May 26 and 28, so he’s been on a hot streak as of late overall.

Elliott is third in the season’s points race, only 45 points back of Harvick, has five top ten finishes in nine races and his five stage wins is tops among all NASCAR drivers.

Chase Elliott at +600 is my selection to win the The Folds of Honor – QuikTrip 500