UFC Fight Night Odds: Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis Prediction

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Nov 26, 2020

derrick lewis ufc

Fan favourite Derrick Lewis is a popular underdog bet for Saturday's main event bout with No. 2 heavyweight contender, Curtis Blaydes.

The next heavyweight title challenger will likely be decided when Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis square off in the Fight Night main event on Saturday.

The heavyweight division will be watching this fight closely, as the winner of this fight will be primed to get a title shot sometime next year.  Blaydes was a -380 favourite on the MMA odds board with Lewis as a +260 underdog earlier this week, but you’ll see Blaydes at -340 and Lewis at +240 now.

Curtis Blaydes UFC Fight Night Odds

Curtis Blaydes (14-2) is undefeated against anyone not named Francis Ngannou.  Riding a four fight win streak, this will be 29-year-old Blaydes’ third fight this year, after a dominating second round TKO win over Junior dos Dantos in January and a unanimous decision win over Alexander Volkov in June.

Blaydes is a ground-and-pound fighter who thrives off of taking his opponents down and controlling them while dishing out heavy punishment.  He lands more significant strikes per minute than Lewis (3.74 for Blaydes, 2.53 for Lewis), but it’s Blaydes’ grappling that set these fighters apart.  Blaydes averages 6.63 takedowns per 15 minutes (Lewis averages 0.48) on 55 per cent accuracy (Lewis’ accuracy is 24 per cent).  His 59 takedowns landed are the most in UFC heavyweight history and there’s no question he’ll be looking for more on Saturday.

Derrick Lewis UFC Fight Night Odds

Derrick Lewis (23-7) is a knockout specialist, on a three fight win streak.  Also fighting for the third time this year, 35-year-old Lewis is coming off a unanimous decision win over Ilir Latifi in February and a second round TKO win over Aleksei Oleinik in August.  The win over Oleinik was Lewis’ 11th UFC knockout, tying the all-time heavyweight record.

Lewis is potentially the best striker and knockout artist in a heavyweight division filled with strikers.  His strong footwork helps him mix in a variety of kicks and knees to set up one-punch knockout attempts.  His 53 per cent takedown defence will be critical in this fight.  He holds more power than Blaydes so if he can keep this a standup fight, he should be primed to win.

Blaydes vs. Lewis UFC Vegas 15 Prediction

Both these fighters know a win on Saturday sets them up for a title shot at some point next year, so they will each be looking to make a statement.  If Lewis can connect he has the potential for an early KO, but Blaydes will be trying to move this fight to the ground.  This fight could go the distance and likely ends in a unanimous decision win for Blaydes.