UFC Fight Night Card, Odds: Dustin Poirier vs. Dan Hooker Prediction

Sports Interaction Staff | Thu. Jun 25 2020, 07:06 am

dustin poirier ufc

While Dustin Poirier is coming off a September submission loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov, he was previously riding a five-fight win streak.

One of the most anticipated UFC fights of the year is slated to go down between American Dustin Poirier and New Zealander Dan Hooker, in the main event of UFC Vegas 4 on Saturday night. Poirier comes in as the favourite on the MMA odds at -210, while Hooker is looking for an upset at +165.

Poirier vs. Hooker UFC Vegas 4 Odds

This should be a brawl as Poirier (25-6) and Hooker (20-8) are two Top 5 contenders who like to stay on their feet. It could easily be the Fight of the Night for Saturday’s UFC card.  While Poirier is coming off a September submission loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov, he was previously riding a five-fight win streak, which had culminated in a unanimous decision win over Max Holloway for the interim lightweight title at UFC 236.

Poirier, the No. 3 lightweight contender, is a boxer. He should have the wrestling advantage over Hooker as well, but Poirier is a heavy hitter who can do serious damage if he can stay close to Hooker, inside the pocket. With just over half of his wins coming by knockout, if Poirier can minimize the distance with Hooker, he should be able to dominate the inside exchanges and have a serious shot at a KO.

Dan Hooker has been nearly impossible to beat for the past few years and is on a three-fight win streak. His split decision win over Paul Felder, in February, nabbed him Fight of the Night honours, in his native New Zealand.

Fight Night 174 - Dan Hooker v Dustin Poirier

  • Dustin Poirier -255
  • Dan Hooker +185

Due to his kickboxing background, Hooker’s standup style has helped him reach No. 5 contender status in the lightweight division. Opponents have struggled to deal with him as he has five stoppages since 2017 and has gone 7-1 in that time. Keeping Poirier at bay will be key for Hooker. Hooker has a three-inch reach advantage and can inflict pain with his superior kicking and kneeing.

Both fighters win about half of their fights by knockout (Poirier 52 per cent, Hooker 50 per cent), while Poirier takes the edge in significant strikes landed per minute (Poirier 5.59, Hooker 4.35), takedown average per minute (Poirier 1.75, Hooker 0.47) and submission average per minute (Poirier 1.32, Hooker 0.47).

UFC on ESPN Predictions: Poirier vs. Hooker

Don’t expect this fight to go the distance; only two of Poirier’s last nine fights and two of Hooker’s last eight, have lasted all five rounds. This fight should bring high entertainment value, so look for a Poirier knockout around the third round.

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