UFC 259 Odds: Amanda Nunes vs. Megan Anderson Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Mar 04, 2021


Amanda Nunes (20-4 MMA record) has already secured her place as one of the greatest UFC fighters and champions of all time.  The 32-year-old Brazilian hasn't lost a fight in over six years and is 11-0 in that time.

One of the biggest names in the UFC will put her featherweight belt on the line when two-division champion Amanda Nunes faces Megan Anderson for the featherweight title in the co-main event of UFC 259 on Saturday.

This fight opened with some of the most lopsided odds for a UFC fight in a long time.  The line has dropped somewhat, but Nunes is still a heavy -725 favourite to win on the MMA odds with Anderson at +470.

Amanda Nunes UFC 259 Odds

Amanda Nunes (20-4 MMA record) has already secured her place as one of the greatest UFC fighters and champions of all time.  The 32-year-old Brazilian hasn’t lost a fight in over six years and is 11-0 in that time.  Nunes has actually also held the bantamweight belt since securing a first round submission over Miesha Tate at UFC 200 in 2016.  After three title defences at bantamweight, Nunes then jumped up to featherweight, winning the title by knocking out Cris Cyborg in under a minute at UFC 232 in 2018.  Since then, she’s defended her bantamweight belt another two times and this will be her second featherweight defence and second straight featherweight fight.  Nunes only fought once in 2020, winning by unanimous decision over Felecia Spencer at UFC 250 in June.

It’s pretty scary when you compare Nunes’ numbers to her opponent.  Nunes lands more significant per minute (Nunes 4.43, Anderson 1.81) with better accuracy (Nunes 51 per cent, Anderson 43 per cent).  She also absorbs less strikes per minute (Nunes 2.65, Anderson 3.12) and has a better striking defence (Nunes 57 per cent, Anderson 35 per cent).  Her grappling numbers are just as dominant.  What this really means, is Nunes will dictate exactly how and where this fight goes.  She’s as good at counter-striking as she is at pressing forward and has one-punch knockout power.  Nunes can also beat you on the ground.  She’s patient when she’s on top and she can capitalize on any submission opportunities presented to her.  Bottom line: Nunes is the undisputed “Baddest Woman on the Planet” for a reason.

Megan Anderson UFC 259 Odds

It hasn’t been a completely smooth transition to the UFC for Megan Anderson (11-4 MMA record).  After debuting in 2018, Anderson lost two of her first three UFC fights.  The 31-year-old Australian has bounced back however, emphatically winning her last two fights.  Anderson ended 2019 with a first round submission win over Zarah Fairn Dos Santos at UFC 243.  Coming into Saturday’s fight, it’s been just over a year since we last saw Anderson in the octagon.   It only took a little over a minute for her to knockout Norma Dumont Viana in a February fight that also earned her Performance of the Night honours.

Anderson’s biggest advantage in this fight will be her size.  Her reach is three inches longer than her opponent and she also has a two inch leg reach advantage.  The first minute of this fight will be key for Anderson.  She can’t let Nunes get comfortable and find a rhythm.  Anderson will need to come out of the gate hard and get some stinging shots on Nunes to keep her opponent at a safe distance.  Anderson has a diverse attack.  She can get at opponents multiple ways and she is punishing when she throws knees into the middle of her combinations.  She’s also known to finish with dangerous high kicks and holds real knockout power in her hands.  The plan for her coming into this fight should be to not have a plan.  Come out strong and fast and mix things up to keep Nunes on her toes.  She’s up against the G.O.A.T., so go big or go home.

Nunes vs. Anderson UFC 259 Prediction

Nunes needs to respect Anderson in this fight.  The UFC wouldn’t put Anderson in this position unless she was a legitimate threat to Nunes’ belt.  Anderson has real knockout power and only needs Nunes to give her a single opening to use it.  As much as Anderson does have the potential to win this fight, it’s incredibly unlikely.  Nunes is too strong, too smart and too skilled.  Look for an early KO win for Nunes.