UFC 250 Odds: Eddie Wineland vs. Sean O’Malley Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 04, 2020

sean omalley ufc

"Sugar" Sean O'Malley has put the bantamweight division on notice by starting his career 11-0 and he's a big favourite to win his 12th bout, too.

The first bout of the UFC 250 main card from Las Vegas on Saturday features rising bantamweight Sean O’Malley looking to push his way into the rankings by beating fellow American Eddie Wineland. This should begin at 10 p.m. ET with the unbeaten O’Malley a heavy favourite on the MMA odds.

This is the third of five bantamweight bouts on the main card; there is no champion with the sudden retirement of Henry Cejudo following a win at UFC 249. Neither Wineland nor O’Malley is ranked in the division, but O’Malley almost surely will be with a victory. He’s a -545 favourite with Wineland at +365. Any MMA fighter, regardless of division, who makes it double-digit bouts into his professional career without a loss is impressive. That’s the case for the 25-year-old O’Malley, who fights out of Arizona (born in Montana) and is 11-0.

His pro debut came in March 2015 in the Intense Fighting Championship organization and his UFC debut was a unanimous decision victory over Terrion Ware in “The Ultimate Fighter 26” finale. O’Malley didn’t fight for two years after a March 2018 unanimous decision over Andre Soukhamthath because of a positive test for a banned substance and then hip surgery.

Wineland vs. O’Malley UFC 250 Odds

“Sugar” returned this past March with a first-round TKO (head kick and punches) of Jose Alberto Quinonez, earning his first Performance of the Night bonus. Seven of O’Malley’s 11 wins are by KO/TKO and just one by submission. His fights average 9:04.

O’Malley lands 6.87 significant strikes per minute (absorbs 3.83) and 1.24 takedowns per 15 minutes with 50 per cent accuracy. His takedown defence is 61 per cent. The favoured method of victory for O’Malley is -135 by KO, TKO or disqualification, +310 by decision and +750 by submission.

Wineland (24-13), 35, has been a professional since way back in 2003 and was the inaugural WEC bantamweight champion. His UFC debut was in March 2011, a unanimous decision loss to Urijah Faber. Wineland got a bantamweight title shot at UFC 165 in September 2013 but lost by second-round TKO (back kick and punches) to Renan Barao. Wineland has not gone more than three fights in the UFC without a loss but snapped a two-bout skid in June 2019 with a second-round KO (punches) of Grigory Popov.

UFC 250 - Eddie Wineland v Sean O'Malley

  • Sean O'Malley -555
  • Eddie Wineland +365

A total of 15 of Wineland’s 24 career wins are by KO/TKO, with four each by submission and decision. The majority of his losses (46 per cent) are by decision. To win Saturday by KO, TKO or disqualification, he is +900 with by decision at +1000 and submission +1300.

Wineland’s fights average 10:42. He lands 3.41 significant strikes per minutes (absorbs 3.51) and 0.28 takedowns per 15 minutes with 28 per cent accuracy. His takedown defence is 86 per cent.

UFC 250 Predictions: Wineland vs. O’Malley

UFC odds have the over/under for rounds is 1.5 (scheduled for three), with the over a -150 favourite. This is also the -110 favourite to be the fastest finishing fight of the entire night. Bet O’Malley to win by KO/TKO as he’s a hugely superior striker with a three-inch reach advantage. It may well end in Round 1.