Georges St. Pierre puts the UFC Welterweight title on the line against Jake Shields in Toronto as MMA fans get ready for a loaded card this Saturday night.
Of course I’m picking GSP on points It’s become the virtual standard call at this stage. Georges St. Pierre has made a habit of dominating opponents over the full five rounds and cruising to a unanimous decision. Saturday’s foe, Jake Shields, is no slouch but the same could be said of Josh Kosheck, Dan Hardy, Thiago Alves, and Jon Fitch. At UFC 129 Shields will enter the octagon with a 15 fight winning streak to his credit and a slight edge in the submission game. Everything else looks to be going against the American.
After failing to impress in a controversial split decision victory over Martin Kampmann in his UFC debut, Shields has plenty to prove to casual MMA fans. He won’t be helped by St. Pierre’s massive superiority in the stand-up game and significant advantage in grappling. MMA betting fans know GSP is a particularly smart fighter, adapting his game to find the best way to win every individual battle. The Canadian will try to remove Shields’ ability to go for submissions, likely taking submission attempts of his own largely out of the equation. It may sound predictable, it might even be boring, but bet on Georges St Pierre to win on points at +120 with Sports Interaction.
Aldo ready to shine Jose Aldo has been very good for a very long time but many MMA fans will be seeing him live for the first time when he defends the UFC Featherweight Championship on Saturday night. Unbeaten since 2006, the Brazilian won’t have the crowd on his side when he takes on Canada’s Mark Hominick. It will take more than a rowdy audience to shake Aldo’s resolve. Both of these fighters love to stand up and strike so expect a quick finish to this contest. Aldo has a massive edge in terms of firepower and should finish off Hominick inside of two rounds.
Machida’s speed should prove decisive I have one piece of advice for Lyoto Machida ahead of his match with Randy Couture: Stay away from the cage. Machida has far superior speed to the Natural and is an excellent counter-striker. This will prove a tough challenge for Couture, who knows his best chance to win is to force Machida against the cage and try to force a takedown from there. Upsets have been at the heart of Randy Couture’s career and winning on Saturday would rank up there with the biggest of them. It says a lot about how much the Natural has achieved that I am wary of picking against a 47 year old man. In this instance I’m going to take the chance and say Machida should win via decision.