The 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational: PGA Tour Betting Odds

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, per usual, is favored on the golf odds. He is one of nine Top 10 players competing.

The 46th renewal of the API at Bay Hill marks the second week of the Florida Swing with the Players Championship up next. This is a Signature Event, which means a limited field and a purse of $20 million (US). There is a cut. For guys who didn’t qualify for the Arnold Palmer, there is an opposite-field event in Puerto Rico this week as well.

Scheffler is the defending champion, something that we will say about a lot of events in 2025. The American didn’t miss a single putt inside 15 feet on the weekend in 2024 and shot a final-round 6-under 66 to finish at 15-under 273 and up five shots on second-place Wyndham Clark.

The winning margin was the largest at Bay Hill since Tiger Woods in 2012 and the largest by a world No. 1 on the PGA Tour since Dustin Johnson at the Masters in 2020. Scheffler also won the tournament in 2022 but only at 5-under 283. The last repeat winner was Tiger when he won the API a record eighth time in 2013. He’s not playing again this year despite a lifetime exemption into Signature Events. I liked Cameron Young last year, and he finished T36.

Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge again is the host, a par 72 at around 7,465 yards. It’s flat but there are many water challenges. Weather can be factor in Florida this time of year, and it has taken double-digits under par to win here only twice in the past five years. The lone world Top 10 player not in the field is No. 9 Tyrrell Hatton of England, the 2020 winner. He’s on the LIV Tour.

Joe Highsmith is +10000 this week after winning the Cognizant Classic on Sunday in Palm Beach after only making the cut on the number. He then shot pair of 64s over the weekend at PGA National for the first PGA Tour win of his career. Highsmith was the first player since Brandt Snedeker at the 2016 Farmers Insurance Open to make a cut on the number and then win said tournament.

Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf Odds

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler was the +650 favourite when he won last year easily at 15 under, and as noted he also won the tournament in 2022 at 5 under by a shot over three others. In between those, Scheffler finished fourth in 2023. He has looked mortal in three starts this year by not winning yet but has two Top 10s. Scheffler is +350 this week, and that’s just too low to ever recommend.

No. 2 Rory McIlroy (+850) won the 2018 tournament and was second by a shot in 2023 to Kurt Kitayama. McIlroy has two events in the USA under his belt this year in California with a win and T17. Sweden’s Ludvig Aberg (+1200) tees it up for the first time since winning the last Signature Event on Tour, the Genesis Invitational, a couple weeks ago. He was T25 here last year.

Xander Schauffele (+1800), Collin Morikawa (+2000) and Patrick Cantlay (+2000) round out the favorites. Schauffele hasn’t played since the 2025 opener due to a ribs injury and hasn’t contended the past two years in Orlando. Morikawa has a best finish of T9 at Bay Hill, while Cantlay had a T4 in 2023 and has two T5s on Tour already this year.

No Canadian has won this event. George Knudson was a co-runner-up in 1967. Nick Taylor was the top finisher last year at T12, with Corey Conners T18, Mackenzie Hughes T30 and Adam Hadwin T52. Adam Svensson shot 79-80 and was dead last after 36 holes to miss the cut. Taylor Pendrith is +5500 this week with Conners at +6600, Nick Taylor +8000, and Adam Hadwin and Mackenzie Hughes both +25000.