Stampeders vs. Argonauts Spread: CFL Grey Cup Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 22, 2017

stampeders cfl playoffs

Last year the Stampeders fell short in the Grey Cup. This time they're looking for redemption.

November 26, 2017, 6:00 PM ET
TD Place Stadium
Pointspread -7.5 +100
Moneyline -305
Over / Under o +51.5
Pointspread +7.5 -120
Moneyline +245
Over / Under u +51.5

The 2017 CFL season comes to a close Sunday in Ottawa as Calgary and Toronto face off in the 105th Grey Cup, with the Stampeders as solid favourites to finish the job this time.

Betting Analysis

Toronto was the East Division champion in the regular season with a 9-9 record (8-10 ATS), while Calgary topped the much better West Division at 13-4 (9-8-1 ATS). The Argos were the only team on the East to finish with a winning record, while the BC Lions were the only club in the West to finish with fewer than 10 victories.

It’s the second Grey Cup in a row for Calgary, which was a 9.5-point favourite last November against Ottawa, which pulled off the 39-33 overtime upset on a Henry Burris 18-yard TD pass to Ernest Jackson. Calgary then went three-and-out on its possession to end the game. Of course, Burris was formerly a star for the Stampeders.

The Stamps were 2-0 against the Argos in the 2017 regular season and covered in both. In Week 7 at Toronto, Calgary won 41-24 as a 6-point favourite. Roy Finch had a 103-yard punt return score and Bo Levi Mitchell threw for three scores. In Week 10 at Calgary, the Argos were +10 and lost 23-7. Mitchell threw for 384 yards and two touchdowns.

It’s the eighth time Ottawa has hosted the Grey Cup and first since 2004.

Calgary Stampeders

The Stamps are in their 16th Grey Cup and looking for their first title since beating Hamilton 20-16 in the 2014 final. Calgary was second in the CFL regular season in scoring with Mitchell throwing for 4,700 yards and 23 touchdowns. Jerome Messam rushed for 1,106 yards and nine scores. Calgary also committed the fewest turnovers in the league with 24 (league-best plus-20 turnover margin) and allowed a league-low 314.7 yards per game on defence.

The Stamps tied Toronto for the CFL lead in sacks with 50. Calgary closed the regular season with three straight losses, but in the West Division final it was -5 and beat Edmonton 32-28 behind two Mitchell touchdown passes.

Toronto Argonauts

The Argos are in their 23rd Grey Cup and looking for first title since beating Calgary 35-22 in 2010 at Rogers Centre. It could be a huge two weeks or so of “football” in the city of Toronto if the Argos can pull the upset and with Toronto FC in the Eastern Conference final and favoured to win the MLS Cup after a record-setting regular season. The Argos were sixth in the CFL in points but second in yards per game, averaging 32.7 yards per game more than Calgary.

Ricky Ray was second with 5,546 passing yards and added 28 touchdowns. S.J. Green caught 104 passes for 1,462 yards and 10 touchdowns. James Wilder led the team in rushing with 872 yards and five scores. Turnovers were a problem for the Argos as they were minus-3 in differential. The Argos were 3-point favourites in the East Division final against Saskatchewan and won 25-21 despite two more turnovers; the Toronto defence, however, forced four of them. Cody Fajardo‘s 1-yard TD run with 23 seconds left was the winner.

Stampeders vs. Argonauts: Grey Cup Prediction

CFL Predictions