Lions vs. Argonauts Prediction: CFL Week 18 Point Spread, Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Oct 06, 2022

The Argonauts will be looking to cement their grasp on the top of the CFL East Division standings on Saturday, when they host the Lions in CFL Week 18 action.

BC
12-6
AT
October 08, 2022, 4:00 PM ET
BMO Field
Toronto
11-7
Pointspread +2 -105
Moneyline +109
Over / Under o +46

58%

Betting Action

42%

Pointspread -2 -115
Moneyline -131
Over / Under u +46

58%

Betting Action

42%

The Argonauts return home after wrapping up a four-game road trip with a disappointing 29-2 loss in Calgary, but still maintain a two-point lead over second-place Montreal in the race for first place in the East. The Lions clinched a playoff spot with last week’s decisive 34-19 win over the visiting Ottawa RedBlacks, and now look to establish their first two-game win streak since mid-August.

The Argonauts have improved slightly since opening as slim 1-point favourites on the CFL Week 18 odds, climbing to -1.5 despite garnering the support of just 73% of sports bettors. The total has held steady since opening at 48.5, while the OVER has attracted 58% of the betting action.

CFL Week 18 Odds and Betting

Saturday afternoon’s matchup at BMO Field marks the second and final regular season meeting between these teams. The Lions romped to a lopsided 44-3 win when the Argonauts visited BC back in June to improve to 3-1-0 straight up in their past four head-to-head clashes. Overall, the Lions have averaged 42.7 points per game over their past three dates with Toronto, but with the Argos tallying single-digit point totals on two occasions, the OVER has paid out just twice over that stretch. However, recent matchups in Toronto have tended towards lower scoring, with the total topping 50 just twice during a 9-2-0 run for the UNDER. However, that has done little to boost the Argonauts’ fortunes when facing BC on home turf, where they have lost 12 of 16 while going 6-10-0 against the spread.

BC Lions

While the Lions earned a trip back to the CFL playoffs for the first time since 2018 with last week’s win, they still have work to do to overcome an inconsistent six-game run, during which they have failed to tally consecutive wins. The start of the Lions’ current run coincided with the loss of rookie sensation Nathan Rourke. With their star passer on the shelf, the Lions’ offense has sputtered at times, scoring 16 or fewer points while losing three of their past five.

However, the team’s move to acquire veteran quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. to fill the void left by Rourke’s injury has finally started to pay dividends. After averaging just 222.5 passing yards and failing to find the end zone while leading the Lions to split in their recent home-and-home series with the Calgary Stampeders, Adams turned in his best performance of the season in last week’s win over Ottawa, connect on 17 of 22 pass attempts for 305 yards and two touchdowns. However, Adams produced mixed results in his last start versus Toronto, going 30-for-39 for 382 yards and two scores, but also tossed a pair of picks while leading Montreal to a 30-27 loss.

Toronto Argonauts

While the Lions look poised to return to their steady early-season form, the Argonauts have work to do to bounce back from their worst performance of the season in last week’s 29-2 loss in Calgary. The Toronto attack stalled from the opening whistle, and posed no real threat of reaching the end zone while driving inside the Stampeders’ 40-yard line just once in the contest. That marked a massive reversal of fortune after the team scored almost at will while romping to a crushing 45-15 rout of the RedBlacks two weeks ago. Indeed, the Argos played some of their best ball of the season during the 4-0-0 run that was snapped with last week’s loss, claiming victory by an average margin of 18 points per game while limiting opponents to an average of 15.5 points.

Indeed, quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson finds himself under increasing pressure in the wake of a meagre 19-for-38, 194-yard performance against the Stamps. The Argos pivot impressed while tallying nine scoring passes over his previous four outings. However, his tendency to toss interceptions has emerged as a growing concern after he tossed two picks last week. Bethel-Thompson has now tossed at least one interception in each of his past six outings, and eight total over that stretch.

CFL Prediction: Who Will Win Lions vs. Argonauts?

SportsInteraction
CFL Predictions