Eskimos vs. Argonauts Prediction: CFL Week 4 Point Spread, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jul 04, 2018

mike reilly

The Eskimos' Mike Reilly was named one of the CFL’s Top Performers of June along with receiver D’Haquille Williams.

Edmonton
9-9
AT
July 07, 2018, 5:30 PM ET
BMO Field
Toronto
4-14

78%

Betting Action

22%

78%

Betting Action

22%

The Toronto Argonauts are having a major Grey Cup hangover as they are the only CFL team without a victory thus far in 2018. The Argos are 3.5-point Sports Interaction underdogs for Saturday’s home matchup against Edmonton.

Betting Analysis

The 3.5-point spread is the smallest of the Week 4 games and the total of 55 the highest. Early betting action is heavy in the Eskimos and the over. On the moneyline, Edmonton is -170 and Toronto +145. The first-half moneyline has Eskimos priced at -150 and Argos +130.

Edmonton is -133 to score first with a touchdown leading at +300. Toronto is -108 to take the first lead with an Argos TD at +333 (same as an Edmonton field goal as first scoring play). The favoured winning margin is Edmonton 1-6 points at +350 followed by Toronto by the same margin at +375.

These teams have split the past six meetings. Last year in Toronto, the Argos were 4-point underdogs but won 34-26. The game in Edmonton had the Eskimos prevailing 30-27 but failing to cover a 7-point line. The total has gone over in 10 of the last 11 meetings.

Edmonton Eskimos

Last week, Edmonton was a 6.5-point home favourite over the visiting BC Lions; we projected a 35-32 Eskimos win, but they covered for the first time this season with a 41-22 victory to go well over the total of 55. C.J. Gable set career highs with 23 carries and 165 rushing yards, adding a touchdown for Edmonton. He had been very quiet the first two weeks. Mike Reilly completed 22 of 30 passes for 326 yards and three scores while rushing for a touchdown.

Earlier this week, Reilly was named one of the CFL’s Top Performers of June along with receiver D’Haquille Williams, who caught six passes for 129 yards and a score vs. BC to go with a pair of two-point conversions. He leads the league in receiving yards with 308. Reilly is second in passing yards with 1,020 and passed the 23,000-yard mark to move in 23rd place on the CFL all-time passing leader chart. Edmonton has covered five of its past six road games.

Toronto Argonauts

The defending Grey Cup champs are the only winless team in the league and totaled just 26 combined points in losses to Saskatchewan and Calgary before going on the bye last week. Now the Argos will have to live without star quarterback Ricky Ray for likely the rest of the season due to a neck injury suffered against the Stamps. The 38-year-old’s career may be over as he nearly retired after winning the Grey Cup.

James Franklin will start against the Eskimos, his former team. Franklin was 8 of 13 passing for 65 yards with a rushing score in relief of Ray vs. Calgary. Franklin was acquired in trade from Edmonton over the winter. Toronto is just 4-10 ATS in its past 14 vs. teams with a winning record.

Eskimos vs. Argonauts Prediction

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