Alouettes vs. Stampeders Prediction: CFL Week 1 Point Spread, Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 07, 2022

Week 1 of the 2022 CFL season kicks off Thursday with the Calgary Stampeders playing host to the Montreal Alouettes.

Montreal
9-9
AT
June 09, 2022, 9:00 PM ET
McMahon Stadium
Calgary
12-6

After last year’s abbreviated schedule, the CFL is back with a full 18-game campaign in 2022.  Week 1 starts in Calgary on Thursday night with the Stampeders hosting the Montreal Alouettes at McMahon Stadium.  Calgary is looking to get back to their pre-pandemic dominance after finishing last season with an 8-6 record before bowing out of the playoffs in the West semifinal.  The Als finished 7-7 last year and lost in the East semifinal.

The Stampeders are 3.5-point favourites to win on the CFL odds, with a total of 47.5.

CFL Odds and Betting

These teams met once last year in Week 3.  The Stamps came out on top at McMahon Stadium with a 28-22 victory.  Jake Maier was under centre for Calgary and finished the game with 304 passing yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.  Vernon Adams Jr. led the offence for Montreal, passing for 261 yards, two TDs and one INT.  It was the eighth time in the last 10 meetings between these teams that the home team has come out on top.  The Over/Under has alternated evenly across the last four head-to-heads.

Montreal has historically been a great cover option against Calgary as they’re 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games versus the Stampeders.  Counting their playoff loss, they were 7-8 ATS last season, while the Over/Under was 5-9-1.  The Alouettes’ regular season win total is set at 8.5.  They’re +395 to win the East Division and +800 to win the Grey Cup.

Calgary has only covered twice in their last 10 games against the Alouettes.  They were a positive cover option last season, however, going 9-6 ATS, while the Over was 6-9.  The Stampeders are +285 to win the West Division and +620 to win the Grey Cup.

Montreal Alouettes

Montreal played a pair of close preseason games, losing 25-23 against the Tiger-Cats and winning 27-26 against the Redblacks.  Adams looked good in the few reps he took in the Ottawa win and looks primed for a big year after a shoulder injury ended his season early in 2021.  Veteran quarterback Trevor Harris is signed as a backup and provides a reliable option if Adams is injured or struggles.  Arguably the biggest weapon on offence for the Als is running back William Stanback, who led the CFL with 1,116 rushing yards last season.  He had 85 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries against Calgary last season.

One area of concern that has to change this year for Montreal is discipline.  The Alouettes were one of the most penalized teams in the CFL on offence and defence in 2021, putting head coach Khari Jones in the hot seat in the offseason, which likely means he’ll be on a short leash this year.  One thing Montreal can’t afford to do is give up penalty yards to an elite offence like Calgary.

Calgary Stampeders

Last year was the first time the Stampeders failed to reach double-digit wins since 2007, but with a full schedule and a healthy Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback, bank on this team having a big bounce-back year.  Mitchell missed time last season with a broken fibula and finished the year with 13 INTs and 10 TDs, the first time in his career he’s ever thrown more interceptions than touchdowns.  The 32-year-old finally looks healthy and is good to go for Week 1.  Running back Ka’Deem Carey will also be a big part of the offence after finishing last season with 869 rushing yards and seven TDs, the second-best rushing total in the CFL.

Calgary crushed the Lions 41-6 and the Elks 37-7 in the preseason with a revamped roster that has a nice blend of new and returning players.  The Stamps traded for linebacker Cameron Judge from the Argonauts, a 2019 Most Outstanding Canadian nominee with Saskatchewan.  Judge struggled to transition to Toronto’s roster last year, but there’s hope the change of scenery will bring him back to his 2019 form when he recorded 61 tackles, five sacks and two interceptions.

CFL Prediction: Who Will Win Alouettes vs. Stampeders?

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