UFC Fight Night 27: Is Condit a trusted favorite vs. Kampmann?

Frank Doyle | Updated Aug 27, 2013

MMA: UFC 143

You don’t have to tell Carlos Condit close only counts in hand grenades and horseshoes as he gets ready for his second bout with Martin Kampmann in Wednesday`s UFC Fight Night 27 main event on Fox Sports 1. Condit has lost consecutive fights for the first time in seven years even though he was in good shape against two of the best in the business – Georges St-Pierre and Johny Hendricks.

Now, Condit doesn`t need any reminder about the  importance of this rematch with Kampmann, who won a narrow decision in their first bout back in 2009. Right now, Condit is the No. 2 contender in the welterweight division and Sports Interaction has his odds pegged as a -294 favorite against Kampmann, ranked No. 6 in the division.

“A win over Kampmann puts me back in the title mix,” Condit told MMAJunkie.com “But first things first, and I’ve got to take care of this guy. Martin is super tough. He’s improved quite a bit since our last fight, and I definitely have my hands full.”

Kampmann is just 5-4 since their last bout, but he is dangerous with Fight of the Night, Submission of the Night and Knockout of the Night honors since then. Plus, the Hitman is coming in confident after beating Condit the first time around.

“We got five rounds to finish that [expletive], and I’m going for the finish,” Kampmann told Late Night Cage Side Radio. I’ll finish Carlos Condit … I see me getting the finish and getting the win. That’s what I see, and it’s going to be a hell of a fight. I’m coming in to finish him. … August 28, we’re gonna come in there and scrap, but I’m going to walk away with the finish. I’m going to walk away as the winner.”

Kampmann certainly poses a threat to Condit. He’s tough and can take a pounding and knows what a win over Condit would do for his career. However, Condit has mixed it up with much better fighters since the last time these two squared off. He nearly knocked out GSP and narrowly lost the decision to Hendricks after letting his hands go early in that bout.

That’s what Kampmann’s in for here. The last thing Condit wants is for this fight to go to the judges, so he’ll be looking for a finish just as much as the underdog is. I like Condit, but his outright price to win is too steep for me. If you think the same, take a look at Condit to win by TKO, KO or DQ (+140).