Two gold belts enter UFC 188 main event between Cain Velasquez and Fabrico Werdum but just one man will leave with the hardware.
At first glance, Saturday’s UFC 188 card in Mexico City does not appear to be good for underdog lovers. Sports Interaction is seeing heavy action on most favorites for this card, including the main event that will unify the heavyweight title when champ Cain Velasquez meets interim title-holder Fabricio Werdum.
Odds and stats as of Friday, June 12.
Cain Velasquez vs. Fabrico Werdum
Odds: Velasquez -560, seeing 70 percent of bets vs. Werdum +375
Nobody’s giving Werdum much of a chance, but this fight could be a lot closer than expected. Velasquez hasn’t fought in almost two years and facing Werdum in his first trip back to the octagon is jumping right back into the deep end. This could be a close fight through the first few rounds but you have to give the edge to Velasquez if it goes to the Championship Rounds.
Pick: Velasquez, Decision
Gilbert Melendez vs. Eddie Alvarez
Odds: Melendez -190 seeing 52 percent of bets vs. Alvarez +150
This is the +175 favorite for Fight of The Night and rightfully so. Alvarez lost a decision to Donald Cerrone in his UFC debut and needs a big win here to solidify his spot in the division. These guys have been looking for this fight for a long time. You have to wonder how much Melendez has left in the tank with all the wars he’s been in. Alvarez will grind this one out for underdog bettors.
Pick: Alvarez, Round 3 TKO
Kelvin Gastelum vs. Nate Marquardt
Odds: Gastelum -525 seeing 83 percent of bets vs. Marquardt +350
The good news is Gastelum shouldn’t have any issues making weight now that he’s fighting at middleweight instead of welterweight. At 23, maturity might be a bit of an issue for him but there’s no doubting his skill and ceiling. If he loses this one, UFC brass isn’t going to be happy.
Pick: Gastelum, Round 3 submission
Chico Camus vs. Henry Cejudo
Odds: Cejudo -1000 seeing 89 percent of bets vs. Camus +650
The UFC is basically offering up Camus as the sacrificial lamb to boost Cejudo’s record in this fight. Cejudo won an Olympic Gold Medal in wrestling when he was just 21 and is now climbing his way up the flyweight ranks. He’s had trouble making weight in the past but looks on track this time around. Camus will be another notch in his belt to set up a big fight with John Dobson or Joseph Benavidez.
Pick: Cejudo, Round 2 TKO