2018 U.S. Open: Golf Odds And Predictions

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 11, 2018

us open 2018

The toughest test in golf annually is the U.S. Open, and the year’s second major championship is held this week at very tough Shinnecock Hills in Southampton, New York. Sports Interaction breaks it down.

U.S. Open Background

It’s the 118th U.S. Open this week, and it would be huge upset if the winning score was double digits under par. Last year, Brooks Koepka won his first major title at Erin Hills in Wisconsin and did so at 16-under par. That course was completely different than Shinnecock Hills and was rendered essentially defenceless because the winds weren’t blowing.

Koepka, whose 16 under total tied a U.S. Open record and was just the third time the winner finished double digits under par, looks to become the first repeat U.S. Open winner since Curtis Strange in 1988-89 and is +2500. Koepka missed part of the early 2017-18 season due to wrist surgery but was a runner-up a couple of weeks ago at the Fort Worth Invitational.

Shinnecock Hills is a par 70 measuring 7,440 yards and it’s the oldest incorporated golf club in the United States. It was formed way back in 1891 and is one of five charter clubs of the USGA. It has hosted the U.S. Open four times previously, last in 2004 when South African Retief Goosen won at 4-under. He didn’t qualify this year.

U.S. Open Odds Favourites

There are some star-studded threesomes for the first two days, led by Dustin Johnson, Tiger Woods and Justin Thomas in one (1:47 p.m. ET tee time Thursday), and Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Phil Mickelson (8:02 a.m. ET) in another.

It’s very rare to win back-to-back weeks on the PGA Tour (or European) and even more rare to win the week before a major and then there. That’s what Johnson (+800) will be attempting to do after he won the St. Jude Classic in Memphis on Sunday in dominant fashion to reclaim the world’s No. 1 ranking. Johnson won the 2016 U.S. Open at very challenging Oakmont but missed the cut last year at Erin Hills.

McIlroy (+1200) won the 2011 U.S. Open at Congressional at 16 under. He has missed the cut the past two years and hasn’t won a major since the 2014 PGA Championship. Spieth (+1800) was the 2015 U.S. Open winner at Chambers Bay, largely because Johnson gagged down the stretch. Spieth comes off a missed cut at the Memorial. England’s Justin Rose (+1600) won the 2013 U.S. Open at Merion and won in Fort Worth a couple of weeks ago.

Woods (+2200) hasn’t won a major since the 2008 U.S. Open and hasn’t played one since 2015. Arguably the biggest story line belongs to Mickelson (+2500) as the U.S. Open is the only thing missing from his Hall of Fame resume. He has finished second in the tournament an incredible six times – including at Shinnecock in 2004. Lefty would be the oldest U.S. Open winner were he to prevail.

Canadian Golfer Odds

No Canadian has won the U.S. Open. Dave Barr was one of three runners-up to Andy North in 1985 outside Detroit. Adam Hadwin is +14000 this week. His best result in three U.S. Opens was 39th in 2011. Hadwin is off an MDF at the Memorial. He tees off Thursday at 1:58 p.m. ET. Mackenzie Hughes (7:18 a.m. ET tee time) is +50000. He missed the cut in his only previous U.S. Open in 2013 and has also MC in his past two events this year.

U.S. Open Predictions

Take Mickelson and McIlroy for Top 10s, but the winner is Henrik Stenson at +3300. The Swede has finished in the Top 25 in his past six PGA Tour events and was T5 at the Masters. He leads the Tour in greens in regulation percentage, always a key statistic at the U.S. Open.