Live UFC 189 Betting Odds: Fight Card Time, Predictions, Results
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Frank Doyle
It’s time! One of the biggest UFC cards of the year goes off Saturday. Here are your start times, odds and picks.
There’s no doubting at the root of UFC 189 is “The Notorious” Conor McGregor and the intrigue and spectacle that follows him, but one fighter doesn’t make a card.
From top to bottom, this UFC Fight Week event might end up being the most complete card we see this year so there’s a lot to dig into. Here’s everything you need to know for UFC 189.
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Odds current as of 1 p.m. ET July 10.
UFC 189 Fight Card
| Time | Weight Class | Fighter | Odds | Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Card | |||||
| 10 p.m. ET | Featherweight | Conor McGregor | -190 | Chad Mendes | 150 |
| 10 p.m. ET | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | 155 | Rory MacDonald | -195 |
| 10 p.m. ET | Welterweight | Dennis Bermudez | 235 | Jeremy Stephens | 175 |
| 10 p.m. ET | Welterweight | Gunnar Nelson | 145 | Brandon Thatch | -185 |
| 10 p.m. ET | Bantamweight | Brad Pickett | 600 | Thomas Almeida | -1000 |
| Prelims | |||||
| 8 p.m. ET | Welterweight | Matt Brown | -235 | Tim Means | 175 |
| 8 p.m. ET | Welterweight | Mike Swick | 350 | Alex Garcia | -525 |
| 8 p.m. ET | Welterweight | Cathal Pendred | -125 | John Howard | -105 |
| 8 p.m. ET | Bantamweight | Cody Garbrant | -800 | Henry Briones | 500 |
| Early Prelims | |||||
| 7 p.m. ET | Flyweight | Neil Seery | 100 | Louis Smolka | -130 |
| 7 p.m. ET | Featherweight | Yosdenis Cedeno | -240 | Cody Pfister | 180 |
UFC 189 Predictions
Conor McGregor vs. Chad Mendes
Now, as fun as this whole Conor McGregor Show has been, it’s really thrown a monkeywrench into UFC handicapping. There’s really no way of knowing whether he’ll be able to handle a wrestler of Mendes’ caliber yet because he hasn’t faced anyone like Mendes. Could Conor win? Sure, he could win the striking battle and be better than everyone expects on the ground. Then again, Mendes might smother him all night before landing one big overhand right. That could end the fight too. The best bet on the board is playing over 2.5 rounds at -115, but if you’re looking for a winner, I don’t have much better than a coin flip – maybe a slight edge to McGregor due to his size advantage.
Prediction: McGregor by decision.
Robbie Lawler vs. Rory MacDonald
Now’s the time Rory MacDonald takes over the welterweight division. Lawler still has a ton of power and great technique on the ground, but MacDonald just has so many different weapons to attack with. At some point all the wars Lawler has been through will catch up with him and we might get a glimpse of that near the end of this fight.
Prediction: MacDonald via Round 4 TKO.
Gunnar Nelson vs. Brandon Thatch
Nelson needs a win here to get back on the right track after seeing his record fall to 13-1-1 with a five-round decision loss to Rick Story. Saturday’s fight against Thatch should give him a chance to redeem himself. Thatch is an explosive striker but Nelson should be able to pick his spots and find an opening to get his hand raised.
Prediction: Nelson via Round 3 submission.
Matt Brown vs. Tim Means
Matt Brown says he’s going to use this fight to prove he belongs among the top welterweights in the world. You should believe him. While Brown might not be on the same level as the top three or four fighters in this division every day, he’s pretty close. Tim Means takes a beating here.
Prediction: Brown via Round 1 TKO.
Cody Garbrant vs. Henry Briones
Finally, for all you parlay loving fight fans out there, Cody Garbrant is a good add to your card. The UFC is probably looking to pad his record a bit and boost his status with this bout. Don’t be surprised when he leaves with a first-round KO.
Prediction: Garbrant via Round 1 knockout.