Valspar Championship Golf Odds and Betting Picks
- Updated: March 7, 2017
Unfortunately, there are no injury reports for golf tournaments. Sweden’s Henrik Stenson was our pick to win last week’s World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship, but he withdrew due to a stomach bug in the first round. You can’t drink the water down there Henrik! This week the PGA Tour resumes its Florida Swing at the Valspar Championship, and Stenson is the +1000 betting favourite on Sports Interaction golf odds.
Valspar Championship Odds Favourites
We had picked back-to-back winners on the PGA Tour before Stenson’s gastrointestinal issues in Mexico City. Dustin Johnson won the WGC-Mexico Championship, his first tournament since becoming the No. 1 player in the world. His hold on that has only strengthened. We did recommend Johnson for a Top-10 finish. Despite winning back-to-back tournaments, Johnson is not at the top of Sports Interaction’s PGA Masters odds. He’s currently +700, behind Jordan Spieth (+650). Neither of those two are competing at the Valspar Championship. It’s a bit of a watered-down field after last week’s big-money tournament.
Stenson apparently is feeling much better and, at No. 6, he’s the highest-ranked player in the field this week at Innisbrook Resort’s Copperhead Course in the Tampa Bay area. It’s a rather unusual Florida layout in that there is plenty of hilly terrain and trees. Copperhead is a par 71 at 7,340 yards. It’s considered a ball-striker’s course and driving accuracy is crucial. The final three holes are nicknamed the “Snake Pit” for their difficulty.
It’s Stenson’s third trip to this tournament. He was fourth two years ago and tied for 11th in 2016. A Swede has won this tournament once: Carl Pettersson in 2005. The last European to win was former world No. 1 Luke Donald of England in 2012.
Justin Thomas, who leads the PGA Tour with three wins this season, is +1100 on golf odds. He was the leader in Mexico City entering the final round but shot a 72 and finished tied for fifth. Thomas did take over the FedEx Cup points lead. It was his fifth Top 10 in nine events this season. Thomas was 10th at the Valspar in 2015 and 18th last year.
Big-hitting Gary Woodland is +1200. We liked him for a Top 10 last week in the altitude, but he finished 38th. Woodland won this tournament in 2011 at 15-under 269, beating Webb Simpson by a shot. He also was eighth in 2014 but hasn’t contended the past two years.
The defending champion is South African Charl Schwartzel. He rallied on the back-nine on Sunday to catch Bill Haas and then beat Haas on the first playoff hole. They each finished 72 holes at 7-under 277. Schwartzel is +4300 this week to repeat, which no golfer has done in this event. Two players, Retief Goosen (+30900) and K.J. Choi (+18800), have won the tournament twice.
Graham DeLaet Leads Canadian Golfer Odds
Graham DeLaet has his shortest odds to win a tournament thus far in 2017 at +1900. He was fifth last year and eighth in 2014. DeLaet didn’t play last week but has Top-10 finishes in two of his past three PGA Tour events. DeLaet is +300 for a Top 10.
Adam Hadwin is +6800 to win and +1000 for a Top 10. He missed the cut in 2016 and was 71st the previous year. David Hearn is +21400 to win and +2000 for a Top 10. He was eighth here in 2014 but also has three missed cuts at Copperhead since 2012. Nick Taylor is +15100 and +1200, respectively. Taylor had a MC here in 2016 but was 24th in 2015.
Valspar Championship Odds And Prediction
For Top 10s, we like Stenson (+100), Haas (+200), Woodland (+200) and Ryan Moore (+200). DeLaet has a decent shot at one as well. Moore has finished in the Top 5 at the Valspar the past two years.
Haas is the choice to win at +3200 after last year’s near-miss. He’s No. 1 on Tour in scrambling, which will be a good fit at Copperhead.