Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: NHL Betting Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Feb 06, 2019

auston matthews

Auston Matthews’ new five-year contract extension doesn’t kick in until next season, but the electrifying centre is in good position to start rewarding his team early as he leads the Leafs into a home encounter with the Senators.

Ottawa
29-47-5-1
AT
February 06, 2019, 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
46-28-6-2
Puckline +1.5 +120
Moneyline +285
Over / Under o +6.5

24%

Betting Action

76%

Puckline -1.5 -140
Moneyline -365
Over / Under u +6.5

24%

Betting Action

76%

Matthews, who signed on the dotted line a day earlier, has enjoyed plenty of success in his career against the Senators, who are overwhelming underdogs in this one.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

It’s easy to see why these teams are so far apart in the odds, even with the Maple Leafs a modest 16-11-1 SU at home this season. Toronto is a red-hot 20-6 in its past 26 games when scoring five or more goals last time out, and has won six straight in the final game of a 4-in-6 situation. The Senators, on the other hand, have lost nine of 10 against Eastern Conference opponents but are 10-3 SU in the past 13 meetings between the teams.

The total for the latest Battle of Ontario is set at 6.5, and both teams are primed to give that number a run. Ottawa has surpassed the total 17 times with two pushes in its past 26 games against divisional foes, and is 34-15-3 O/U in its last 52 contests as an underdog. Toronto is 6-2-1 to the over in its last nine games as a favourite of -200 or greater, and the previous four meetings between the teams at Scotiabank Arena have surpassed the total.

Ottawa Senators

The Senators have hit the skids, having lost four consecutive games while scoring just seven goals over that stretch. But they’re getting tremendous contributions from a quartet of players: Mark Stone, Matt Duchene and Ryan Dzingel each have 20 or more goals, while defenceman Thomas Chabot remains one of the top blue-line scoring threats in the league with 39 points through 44 games. On the other side, Mikkel Boedker has just five goals in 51 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Looking for a player prop? Consider Matthews to either score a goal or record a point; neither option will pay off your mortgage, but they could make for safe options given Matthews’ success against the Senators. The No. 1 pick in the 2016 draft has erupted for eight goals and six assists in nine career games vs. Ottawa, and finished with a goal and an assist in his only previous season meeting with the Senators back on Oct. 6.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

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