Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 10, 2018


Just two games on the NHL schedule Wednesday, which is highlighted by the Battle of Ontario as the Senators make their first visit of the season to Toronto. The teams then play again Saturday in Ottawa.

January 10, 2018, 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Puckline +1.5 -140
Moneyline +200
Over / Under o +6


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +120
Moneyline -245
Over / Under u +6


Betting Action


This is the second of four meetings between these clubs, with the Sens returning to Air Canada Centre on Feb. 10.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

On Oct. 21, Ottawa was a short home underdog to the Leafs but won 6-3 – that was back when the Senators were still above .500. Derick Brassard was the game’s No. 1 star with two goals, an assist and plus-4 rating, while Mark Stone was the No. 2 with two goals, an assist and plus-4 rating himself. Ottawa took a 3-0 lead into the third before James van Riemsdyk and Auston Matthews made things interesting. Craig Anderson made 28 saves for the Sens in becoming the first goaltender to appear in 300 career games with Ottawa. Frederik Andersen wasn’t too sharp for Toronto with 29 stops. Leo Komarov had a rough night as he was minus-4.

Last year, Ottawa was 2-0 in Toronto. It won 3-2 in shootout in the first meeting. Mike Hoffman tied the game with 1:11 left in regulation, and Tom Pyatt won it with his first career shootout goal. The second matchup at Air Canada Centre was a 6-3 Ottawa win. The Sens had four third-period goals – Stone had a goal and four assists and Brassard two goals and an assist.

Ottawa is 8-1 in the past nine meetings overall. The total has gone over in four of the previous five.

In 19 career games vs. the Leafs, Brassard has nine goals, 11 assists and is plus-9. In 16 games, Stone has nine goals, 15 assists and is plus-10. Toronto’s Andersen is 1-2-1 in his career vs. Ottawa with a 3.45 goals-against average and .873 save percentage.

Ottawa Senators

The NHL schedule-makers haven’t been kind to the Senators (14-18-9) of late as this is their third back-to-back in less than two weeks. The good news, though, is that Ottawa goes on its bye week after this game. The Sens played one of their worst games of the season Tuesday, losing 8-2 at home to Chicago – it was Ottawa’s most lopsided loss of 2017-18. Anderson was pulled after allowing four goals on 26 shots. Mike Condon was no better in allowing four goals on 17 shots. As of this writing, it remains to be seen which starts Wednesday. Stone and Brassard scored for the Senators. It was Stone’s third straight multi-point game, and he leads the team by far with 42 points overall and 18 goals. Ottawa will be without winger Bobby Ryan tonight as he left Tuesday’s game with a hand injury.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto (25-16-3) is in an interesting streak right now of three straight home games ending 3-2 at least in overtime. The Leafs won the first two against San Jose and Vancouver in a shootout but lost to Columbus in OT on Monday. Artemi Panarin scored 3:11 into overtime to complete the Jackets’ rally from a 2-0 late third-period deficit. Both Leafs goals came in the second period via James van Riemsdyk (18th of season) and then William Nylander (ninth) on the power play. Andersen stopped 31 of 33 shots. It’s tough enough to blow a two-goal lead with five minutes left, but especially against a team that was playing its second game in 24 hours. The Leafs are now 15-1-1 when leading entering the third.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction