Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals Prediction, NHL Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Feb 25, 2021

crosby penguins

A steady diet of games against the Capitals and Islanders has served the Penguins well, as they prepare to face the Caps yet again on Thursday night.

February 25, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
Puckline +1.5 -259
Moneyline +100
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +215
Moneyline -120
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


Pittsburgh will play the eighth of 10 consecutive games against one of those two divisional foes, and they’ve gone 5-2 SU in the first seven – including two wins in three meetings with the Capitals, who come in with just three wins over their previous nine games.

Penguins vs. Capitals 2/25/21 Betting Analysis

The combination of Pittsburgh’s hot stretch, Washington’s stumbles and the Capitals having home-ice advantage has made this one a near-toss-up in the eyes of oddsmakers, who have made Washington an ever-so-slight favourite. This despite the fact that the Penguins have now won four of the previous five meetings between the teams (though three of those games went to extra time). The Capitals do, however, have a solid 6-3-2 home record on the season.

Nearly three-quarters of Sports Interaction bettors are siding with the home team in Thursday’s rematch, while 59 percent are taking the Under on the total of 6.5 (valued at -120 compared with the O6.5 at +100). These teams have soared past the total in seven of their previous nine meetings overall, and have combined for 7+ goals in three of five encounters this season. And the Penguins are 9-8 O/U for the year, while the Capitals are 11-7.

Pittsburgh Penguins

The Penguins are far from perfect, but they’ve shown vast improvement on the back end in recent games – and that has them turning things around after a slow start to the season. Pittsburgh has allowed two or fewer goals in each of their previous three games, lowering the team GAA to 3.24 for the season. But the news isn’t all good, with the team learning that forward Jason Zucker will be out “longer-term” with a lower-body injury.

Washington Capitals

Today’s NHL is all about speed – and the Capitals have a major lack in that area compared to the league average. They attempted to counter the Penguins’ wheels last time out with extreme physicality – and while that helped them earn a 2-1 advantage in the hits department, they were still outshot 37-22 and were fortunate to escape with a single point. The Capitals boast a minus-1.9 average shot margin for the season, while the Penguins are at plus-1.1.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Penguins vs. Capitals?