Toronto Maple Leafs vs. San Jose Sharks Prediction, NHL Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 26, 2021

Buoyed by a dominant 12-game stretch, the Toronto Maple Leafs would love nothing more than to end a lengthy streak of futility against San Jose as they face the host Sharks on Friday night.

Toronto
26-10-2-1
AT
November 26, 2021, 10:30 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose
22-19-1-1
Puckline -1.5 +147
Moneyline -168
Over / Under o +6

85%

Betting Action

15%

Puckline +1.5 -176
Moneyline +140
Over / Under u +6

85%

Betting Action

15%

Toronto has won 10 of its previous 12 games to rise to the No. 2 spot in the Atlantic Division standings, and are solid favourites Friday as they tangle with a San Jose side that has turned things around of late with victories in back-to-back games.

The Leafs are -152 favourites to win on the NHL odds, with a total of 6.0.

Maple Leafs vs. Sharks NHL Betting Odds

Toronto has been a difficult opponent in recent weeks, especially away from Scotiabank Arena: The Maple Leafs have won five consecutive road games and have looked great in the process, outscoring the opposition by a 20-8 margin over that stretch. Toronto has gone 14-6-1 as a favourite on the season, while the Sharks are a dead-even 7-7-0 when coming in as an underdog. San Jose has, however, won 15 of the past 20 head-to-head meetings.

It’s routine for the Maple Leafs to see the lion’s share of the handle from Sports Interaction bettors. Friday’s game is no exception, with an incredible 89 per cent of respondents siding with the Blue and White. Less convincing is the total trend, where 65 per cent are taking the O6 at +100 (with the U6 at -120). The majority is going against the trends for both teams, with the Sharks at 7-12 O/U for the season and the Maple Leafs at an eye-popping 7-14.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Teams that excel in odd-man situations tend to fare well overall – and the Maple Leafs are living proof of that through their first 21 games of the season. The Leafs rank inside the top-10 in both facets of special teams, sitting eighth in the NHL on the power play (23.7 per cent) and eighth in penalty-kill success rate (85.7 per cent). The latter stat has played a major role in Toronto owning the No. 3 combined team goals-against average at 2.24 (which explains all those Unders).

San Jose Sharks

The Toronto power play has made opposing teams look foolish, but the Leafs shouldn’t expect the same result at SAP Center on Friday. The Sharks have been magnificent when down a man in 2021-22, rocking an 88.9 per cent penalty kill rate that ranks second overall. They held the Leafs scoreless in two power play opportunities in a 5-3 win in Toronto back on Oct. 22, and have held them without a PP tally in each of the past three meetings.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Sharks?

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