Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Feb 14, 2020

John Tavares, Maple Leafs, 2020

The Battle of Ontario isn't what it used to be. The two teams meet on Saturday night and both the Maple Leafs and Senators are sinking in the standings.

February 15, 2020, 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
Puckline -1.5 +115
Moneyline -179
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline +1.5 -138
Moneyline +149
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


The Senators have just 49 points – the second-fewest in the Eastern Conference and while they enter off a win, that was their first win in eight games. As for the Maple Leafs, they entered the year among the Stanley Cup favorites. Instead, they’ve collected just 68 points and are fighting for their dear playoff lives. Toronto will be favored here but can they get the win?

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Analysis

Although the Maple Leafs have won both meetings between the teams this season, this has been a more even series than you might think. The Sens won three of the four meetings last year. They scored at least four goals in every contest. Ottawa has been respectable at home this year at 13-10-6 compared to 6-17-5 on the road.

As for the Leafs, they’re 15-12-1 on the road, which means they have a winning road record compared to their 15-8-7 (15-15) home record. They’ve actually won seven of their last 10 road games.

Toronto Maple Leafs

If the Maple Leafs want to make the playoffs, they have a funny way of showing it. They enter Saturday’s game having lost four of six. Lead goaltender Frederik Andersen is back in the lineup but the team still lost his return on Thursday, falling 3-2 at home to Dallas. The team has given up 3.14 goals per game this month and they haven’t had the offense to back them up. Toronto is scoring just 2.71 goals per game in February, which ties them for 19th in the NHL. They’re just not getting great production from key pieces as Auston Mathews, Mitch Marner and Kasperi Kapanen each have just one point in their last three games

Ottawa Senators

The Sens continue to be one of the worst teams in the NHL and much of that has to do with their goaltending. Starter Anders Nilsson is out and playing without him has been a big deal. The team is 9-9-2 with him in the lineup; they have just 10 wins in their other 30 games without him.

Veteran Craig Anderson has been a huge liability as he has a 3.27 GAA and an .899 save percentage. He’s allowed at least four goals in four of his last six starts. That’s why the Sens are trying to turn to 25-year-old Marcus Hogberg, but he hasn’t been much better. He’s lost 12 of 15 outings but he’s at least giving the team a chance to win. He’s allowed two goals or less in four of his last five appearances.

Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Senators?