Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Mar 23, 2023

It’s do-or-die time for the Ottawa Senators as they host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday night.

Tampa Bay
March 23, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
Puckline -1.5 +188
Moneyline -129
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline +1.5 -227
Moneyline +108
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


Losses in six of their last seven outings has dropped the Senators to 11th in the Eastern Conference standings and seven points behind the final Wild-Card spot. Ottawa’s lone win in that stretch came via a 48-save performance from Dylan Ferguson in his first NHL start.

With either second or third place in the Atlantic Division all but certain for the Lightning, the goal to end the season is to catch second-place Toronto. It’s going to be a difficult task for Tampa, as they are three points back with two extra games played.

Puck drop at Canadian Tire Centre goes at 7 p.m. ET with Tampa Bay a slight road favourite at -140 on the moneyline and the total at 6.5 on the NHL odds.

Lightning vs. Senators NHL Betting Odds

The Lightning have come out winners in eight of their last 10 meetings with the Sens, and in six of their last seven trips to Ottawa. Tampa Bay took these teams’ only other meeting this season by a score of 4-3 on November 1.

Five straight Ottawa home games have finished over the total, and six of the last eight Lightning–Sens clashes in Ottawa have too. Overall, 10 of Ottawa’s last 14 games have went over as the Sens continue on with two goaltenders on the injured reserve. Meanwhile the Lightning have allowed at least three goals in four straight outings.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay started this four-game road trip at Montreal on Tuesday and suffered a surprising 3-2 defeat. The Lightning only allowed 20 shots on goal but it was just another tough night for the elite Andrei Vasilevskiy in net. Vasilevskiy is 3-4 this month with an .883 save percentage.

Brayden Point notched his team-leading 44th goal of the season Tuesday and is tied for fourth in the league. It snapped a five-game goalless streak for Point. After reaching a team-high 100 points in a win on Sunday, Nikita Kucherov was held off the score sheet Tuesday for just the second time this month.

Ottawa Senators

After going through a stretch where they allowed a minimum of five goals in five consecutive losses, Ottawa’s played a pair of 2-1 contests. The first came in a win Monday at Pittsburgh, the aforementioned Ferguson game. Mads Sogaard did everything he could the following night in Boston but 33 saves on 35 shots resulted in a 2-1 loss for his Sens. Dylan Gambrell scored Ottawa’s lone goal against Boston, the game’s opening tally.

Leading scorer Tim Stutzle went without a point in those two games earlier this week, but has had a fantastic month with seven goals and eight assists while also having six multi-point outings. Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk are both the team’s top point-getters and goal-scorers.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Senators?

NHL Predictions