Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, NHL Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Feb 16, 2021

Ovechkin vs. Crobsy, Capitals, Penguins, 2019

The Capitals have yet to solve the Penguins in 2021 – but they’ll get another crack Tuesday night as the storied Eastern Conference rivals do battle at PPG Paints Arena.

Washington
28-12-2-2
AT
February 16, 2021, 7:00 PM ET
PPG PAINTS Arena
Pittsburgh
27-13-2-1
Puckline +1.5 -225
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +6.5

66%

Betting Action

34%

Puckline -1.5 +187
Moneyline -126
Over / Under u +6.5

66%

Betting Action

34%

The Penguins prevailed 6-3 in the first of two straight meetings in Pittsburgh, and have now beaten the Capitals in all three head-to-head encounters this season. And more importantly to totals bettors, all three games have featured at least seven total goals.

Capitals vs. Penguins 2/16/21 Betting Analysis

Oddsmakers have listed the Penguins as -120 favourites, down slightly from their -126 odds in Sunday’s opener. And the betting public appears to be jumping off the Pittsburgh bandwagon right here, with 61 percent of Sports Interaction participants siding with the Capitals. The Pens have now won six of the previous eight meetings between the teams, while Washington comes in having lost four of its past five road games.

The total for Tuesday’s matchup is set at 6.5, with the Over at -120 and the Under at +100. It’s not surprising to see the odds shifting slightly here after the O6.5 and U6.5 carried identical -110 odds in Sunday’s first meeting. These teams have surpassed the total in each of their previous six meetings at PPG Paints Arena, with four of those contests featuring eight or more goals. Washington is 10-3 O/U for the season, while the Penguins are 9-4.

Washington Capitals

Not even a week between games could fix what ails the reeling Capitals, who have dropped four straight and look completely lost on defence and in goal. Washington has surrendered an average of 5.5 goals over the course of its current losing skid, raising its goals-against average for the season to an alarming 3.77 – third-highest in the league. They’re also being outshot by an average of 3.8 attempts per game, after finishing +1.8 in that category last season.

Pittsburgh Penguins

That the Penguins have fared so well this season is a testament to their 5-on-5 play – because they have been positively dreadful on special teams. Pittsburgh enters Tuesday’s rematch ranked 21st in power-play efficiency at 15.4 percent, while sitting 26th with a 70.7-percent penalty kill success rate. And it’s the latter stat that has gone a long way toward making the Penguins one of the best Over plays in the season to date.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Capitals vs. Penguins?

SportsInteraction