Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, NHL Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Feb 14, 2021

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The Crosby-Ovechkin rivalry is about to be renewed as four of the next six games each of these teams play will be against each other.

February 14, 2021, 3:00 PM ET
Puckline +1.5 -225
Moneyline -110
Over / Under o +6.5
Puckline -1.5 +187
Moneyline -110
Over / Under u +6.5

It might be Valentine’s Day on the calendar, but the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins won’t be exchanging cards or gifts Sunday as the Eastern Conference rivals square off at PPG Paints Arena. The Penguins will be happy to spend some time at home, where they’re perfect so far this season but have played just four of their first 12 games there. They’re modest favourites against a Capitals team that hasn’t hit the ice in a week.

Capitals vs. Penguins Betting Analysis

Pittsburgh carries a 4-0-0 home mark into the third meeting of the season between these teams – and if it’s anything like the first two games, fans will be in for a treat. The Penguins swept the Caps in their two-game mini-series in mid-January, with both victories coming in extra time. The Capitals have now won just two of their last seven head-to-head meetings with the Penguins, and have dropped 12 of their previous 17 games away from Capital One Arena. 

The total for Sunday’s hotly-anticipated matchup is a firm 6.5, with the Over and Under carrying identical -110 odds. Though the Capitals haven’t played since last Sunday, they’re still one of the hottest Over plays in the league, having gone 8-2 O/U in their last 10. The teams have also exceeded the total in each of their previous five encounters at PPG Paints Arena, with their two earlier games producing seven and nine total goals, respectively.

Washington Capitals

Rest or rust? That’s the age-old question whenever a team hasn’t seen game action for a while – but whatever the case, you can bet at least one Washington skater will be elated to see the ice again. Alexander Ovechkin has played just eight games this season between COVID-19 protocols and postponements. He had a goal and two assists in the first two meetings with the Penguins, and has scored 36 times in 61 regular-season encounters with Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Penguins

The revamped NHL schedule has already seen its share of quirks – but Pittsburgh’s February slate is among the most bizarre of any team in the league. The Penguins are headed into the third game of a 10-game stretch in which they will only face either Washington (four times) or the New York Islanders (six times). More importantly for Penguins fans and backers, Pittsburgh will play eight of its next 12 games in friendly confines.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Capitals vs. Penguins?