Capitals vs. Penguins: Game 4 Prediction, NHL Playoff Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated May 02, 2018

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The Washington Capitals surprised the Pittsburgh Penguins with a 4-3 win in Game 3. Now they have the opportunity to put a stranglehold on the series in Game 4.

Washington
49-26-6-1
AT
May 03, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
PPG PAINTS Arena
Pittsburgh
47-29-4-2
Puckline +1.5 -170
Moneyline +170
Over / Under o +6

31%

Betting Action

69%

Puckline -1.5 +145
Moneyline -200
Over / Under u +6

31%

Betting Action

69%

Alex Ovechkin delivered one of the most clutch goals of his career when he put Washington ahead for good with just 1:07 remaining in the third period on Tuesday night in Game 3. His initial shot hit the post, but Ovechkin stayed with the puck and batted it out of the air for the game-winning goal. The Capitals will be filled with confidence when they take the ice for Game 4 on Thursday night but can they keep their momentum going? Until they put the Penguins away, the concerns about their mental frailty will remain.

Capitals vs. Penguins Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Analysis

The Pens had won 12 straight following a loss of two or more before stumbling in Game 3. Still, you have to like their chances in Game 4 as they are 28-10 after allowing four goals or more in their previous game. They are also 20-10 when playing at home with a total of six or higher this year.

The Caps are now 17-10 in their last 27 against teams with a winning record but are just 22-19 when scoring four or more in their previous contest.

Washington Capitals

Washington head coach Barry Trotz will be preaching urgency with a chance to go up 3-1 in the best-of-seven series before heading home for Game 5. The Capitals have led in every game of the series so far. Had they not allowed the Pens to fight their way back from two goals down in a Game 1, they could be up 3-0. If Washington can somehow find a way to steal Game 4 on the road then it will have an excellent opportunity to close out the series on home ice. In order for that to happen, the Capitals best players need to continue to produce including Alex Ovechkin, who had a goal and an assist in their latest win.

Meanwhile, it will be on goaltender Braden Holtby to stand tall between the pipes and slow down a dangerous Penguins offense. Holtby actually hasn’t played that well in the series, posting a save percentage of .880 or less in two of the three games. However, the Pens haven’t fired too many pucks at him. The Caps have protected him well with puck possession and they’ll have to do more of the same in Game 4.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Goal scoring will be a point of focus for a Pittsburgh team that has been outscored 8-4 in its last two games. The Penguins found the back of the net three times in Game 3 but it wasn’t enough. Pittsburgh averaged just over six goals per game in its four wins over the Philadelphia Flyers in the first round. With Evgeni Malkin back in the lineup, the Penguins need to find their offensive punch.

Meanwhile, Matt Murray will need to be a lot better after giving up seven goals on the last 53 shots he faced in back-to-back losses. Murray registered a 1.70 goals against average and a .937 save percentage on the way to a Stanley Cup a year ago but he owns a 2.92 goals-against average and a .907 save percentage so far this postseason. He holds a lousy .897 save percentage in this series, which simply isn’t good enough in the second round of the playoffs. He needs to be better.

Capitals vs. Penguins Game 4 Prediction

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