Bruins vs. Maple Leafs: Game 4 Prediction, NHL Playoff Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Apr 18, 2018

marner marleau

Mitch Marner and Patrick Marleau combined for four points in Toronto's Game 3 win over Boston, but the Maple Leafs opened as home underdogs for Game 4.

Boston
50-20-9-3
AT
April 19, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
49-26-5-2
Puckline -1.5 +220
Moneyline -120
Over / Under o +6

50%

Betting Action

50%

Puckline +1.5 -265
Moneyline +100
Over / Under u +6

50%

Betting Action

50%

The Toronto Maple Leafs might have avoided a sweep at the hands of the Boston Bruins, but they still have plenty of work to do heading into Game 4 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal series Thursday night at Air Canada Centre. The Leafs earned a 4-2 victory over the Bruins in Game 3, but oddsmakers have made the hosts a slight underdog for Thursday’s NHL matchup with a Boston team that comes in as a -385 favourite to win the series.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Analysis

Recent history has clearly taken precedence over historical trends, with the Bruins coming in as slight faves despite having dropped five consecutive games at the ACC. And that isn’t the only trend working in favour of the Leafs: They’ve won five straight home games against teams with road records above .500, and have prevailed in 10 of 14 after allowing two or fewer goals in their previous contest. And the Bruins have dropped five straight road outings overall.

This series has featured plenty of goals through the first three contests – and with Game 4 boasting a total of 6, oddsmakers are expecting that to continue. The Bruins have three overs and two pushes in their previous five games overall, and are an identical 3-0-2 O/U in their past five contests vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Toronto, meanwhile, has gone above the total in seven of its previous eight games with a winning percentage north of .600.

Boston Bruins

Oddsmakers know just how good the Bruins have been at bouncing back following a poor offensive performance; Boston has 19 wins in its last 26 games after scoring two or fewer goals in its previous contest. A little extra down time has also made a significant difference for the Bruins of late; they’ve won 12 of their last 14 games on two days’ rest. Boston enters the game at +224 to win the series in five games, +284 to win in six and +316 to prevail in seven.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs couldn’t continue to give Boston power-plays – and it fixed that problem in a major way last time out, killing off the Bruins’ only man-advantage situation. Toronto even scored on its only power-play chance, its second consecutive game with a man-advantage goal. But consistency has eluded the Maple Leafs of late, as they’ve produced just one win in their last five games following a victory.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

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