Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: NHL Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Feb 24, 2018

nazem kadri

Saturday’s clash between the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs pits two of the top three teams in the Eastern Conference against each other.

Boston
50-20-9-3
AT
February 24, 2018, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
49-26-5-2
Puckline -1.5 +260
Moneyline -125
Over / Under o +5.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Puckline +1.5 -220
Moneyline +100
Over / Under u +5.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

The Atlantic Division rivals are separated by one point, so this could be a potential playoff preview. The Bruins are ahead by a point but have five games in hand. Both teams are red-hot right now, which makes this game the feature contest on Saturday night.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Bruins have been absolutely on fire since late December with a 24-3-3 record since December 18th. Boston has been just as good on the road as at home with a 9-1-0 record in its last 10 games as the visiting team. Meanwhile, Toronto has been just as hot of late with a 12-3-0 record over its last 15 games. The Maple Leafs have won seven in a row on home ice and own a 21-8-2 mark at the Air Canada Centre this season. Toronto won the first two meetings between these teams before suffering a 4-1 loss in the last meeting on February 3rd.

Boston Bruins

The Bruins followed up a 2-1 overtime win over the Calgary Flames with a 3-2 win over the Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday night. They will have three days off before taking on Toronto. Tuukka Rask is expected to be back between the pipes for Boston after turning aside 28 of the 29 shots he faced in a win over Calgary in his last start. Rask is 6-2-0 with a 2.17 goals-against average and a .921 save percentage over his last eight starts. The Bruins are second in the NHL with 2.30 goals allowed per game since the All-Star break.

Meanwhile, the Bruins offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 3.40 goals per game this month (eighth in the NHL). Patrice Bergeron is leading the way up front, collecting 12 points since January 23rd. Ryan Spooner, David Pastrnak, Danton Heinen and Ryan Spooner each have seven points over that span. With the Bruins firing on all cylinders, they will be tough to stop. Boston has scored three goals or more in 18 of its last 19 wins overall.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto’s only two losses over the last month were on the road at the hands of the Bruins and the Pittsburgh Penguins. They are 12-2-0 over that span. Those losses sting, though, as they are to elite opponents. The Leafs are just 4-5 in their last nine against teams with a winning record whereas Boston has won five straight in that role.

The biggest question surrounding Toronto is the status of Auston Matthews, who scored a goal in Thursday’s 4-3 win over the New York Islanders but wasn’t able to finish the game after he suffered an upper-body injury. The Maple Leafs will be in a much tougher position if Matthews is limited or can’t play against the Bruins on Saturday night. Meanwhile, the good news for Toronto is that Nazem Kadri and Mitch Marner have been on fire over the last month. Kadri leads the club with 17 points since January 23rd, while Marner is second with 15 points over that span.

The other area where Boston should have an edge is in net. Frederik Andersen has done a decent job on the season but he has allowed three goals or more in five of his last six starts, including Toronto’s last loss to Boston. He has a .925 save percentage this month, which is on par with his performance in previous months, but his 2.89 GAA is his highest in any month since October. Whether it’s him or the Leafs defense, they have to be better – especially against elite teams like Boston.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

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