Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Dec 04, 2019

Flyers score on Leafs, 2019

The Maple Leafs were blitzed with five third period goals in a 6-1 loss to the Flyers on Tuesday night. They'll try to pick up the pieces against the Avalanche on Wednesday.

Colorado
42-20-7-1
AT
December 04, 2019, 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
36-25-4-5
Puckline +1.5 -191
Moneyline +109
Over / Under o +6.5

67%

Betting Action

33%

Puckline -1.5 +159
Moneyline -131
Over / Under u +6.5

67%

Betting Action

33%

The Toronto Maple Leafs had found a bit of a groove since firing Mike Babcock. After letting him go, they won three in a row and four of five, but suffered a sizable setback on Tuesday. The Maple Leafs fell 6-1 to the Philadelphia Flyers and now have a quick turnaround before facing the red-hot Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday. Can the Leafs get back on track or will the Avalanche hand them a second straight loss?

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Avs are going to be well-rested for this game as they’ve been off since Saturday. They are 3-1 this season when playing on three or more days rest. The over is 6-1 when they’ve faced Eastern Conference foes this season and each of their last four meetings with Toronto have gone over.

As for the Leafs, they are 6-3 in non-conference games but have lost two straight home games to the Avalanche. They’ve also dropped two of their last three at home overall. After Tuesday’s loss, the Leafs are now just 5-7 against teams with a winning record.

Colorado Avalanche

The Avs just can’t be stopped these days – regardless of who is in or out of the lineup.

The team has had a number of big injuries this season as Mikko Rantanen has only played 10 games and Gabriel Ladeskog has only played in 11. This duo finished second and third on the team last season in terms of points. A big reason the Avs are still 16-8-2 on the season with the second-most goals scored is the balance in the lineup. Last season, they were a one-trick pony with one good line. Now guys like Joonas Donskoi (22 points), Andre Burakovsky (21) and Nazem Kadri (20) are there for support. It doesn’t hurt to have Nathan MacKinnon on the roster as he’s fourth in the NHL in assists and overall points.

The Leafs played on Tuesday night, which means that not only are they in a back-to-back situation, they’ll also be forced to put Michael Hutchinson between the pipes. The projected started has yet to win this season in six tries and has an ugly .876 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs

It’s hard to know what to make of the Maple Leafs these days. They were listless under Babcock, which is what got him fired. They had lost six in a row when he got canned and then immediately won three straight. Frederik Andersen had been a big difference-maker before Tuesday, posting a .950 save percentage as the team won four of five. However, he was blitzed on Tuesday, giving up five goals in the third period en route to a 6-1 loss. Sure, the Flyers are on fire right now as it was their fifth straight win but this has to be discouraging for the Leafs.

The good news for Toronto is one of their recent wins was against the Avalanche, who are extremely banged up. The Avs are without Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Ladeskog, which takes a big chunk out of their offense. That should give the Maple Leafs a much better chance of winning than if those two were in the lineup.

Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs?

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