Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds NHL Odds

March 15, 2025, 07:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena

Betting Action

No odds are available yet.

  • Regular Season
  • Playoffs

Team Leaders

OTT TOR
Points

Tim Stutzle

79

Mitch Marner

102
+ / -

Nick Jensen

18

Jake McCabe

23
Shots

Brady Tkachuk

296

Auston Matthews

261
Penalty Mins

Brady Tkachuk

123

Max Domi

76
Wins

Linus Ullmark

25

Joseph Woll

27
GAA

Leevi Merilainen

1.99

Anthony Stolarz

2.14
OTT TOR
Points

Drake Batherson

1

John Tavares

4
+ / -

Artem Zub

1

Auston Matthews

2
Shots

Brady Tkachuk

10

Auston Matthews

9
Penalty Mins

Dylan Cozens

10

Nicholas Robertson

6
Wins

Drake Batherson

0

Anthony Stolarz

2
GAA

Linus Ullmark

4.39

Anthony Stolarz

1.95

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

It's the Battle of Ontario on Saturday night in Toronto as the Maple Leafs host the Ottawa Senators in a potential playoff preview.

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Ottawa 35 25 6-2-2 1W 28-37 -1464 20-9-2 15-16-1-2 27-32-6
Toronto 39 23 9-1-0 5W 32-33 467 20-12-0-1 19-11-2 31-31-3
  • Recent Meetings
  • OTT Last 10
  • TOR Last 10

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists OTT:Shots OTT:Goals OTT:Assists
04/22/2025 TOR 3 - OTT 2 TOR Under 6 21 3 5 28 2 4
04/20/2025 TOR 6 - OTT 2 TOR Over 5.5 24 6 10 33 2 4
03/15/2025 TOR 2 - OTT 4 OTT Under 6 23 2 2 25 4 5
01/25/2025 OTT 2 - TOR 1 TOR Under 5.5 29 1 2 23 2 4
11/12/2024 TOR 0 - OTT 3 OTT Under 6 27 0 0 41 3 5
09/24/2024 OTT 2 - TOR 1 OTT Under 6.5 20 1 0 27 2 2
09/22/2024 TOR 5 - OTT 6 (OT) OTT Over 6.5 37 5 9 34 6 11
02/10/2024 OTT 5 - TOR 3 OTT Over 7 35 3 6 32 5 7
12/27/2023 TOR 2 - OTT 4 OTT Under 7 30 4 5 36 2 3
12/07/2023 OTT 3 - TOR 4 OTT Over 0 22 4 8 41 3 4
11/08/2023 TOR 3 - OTT 6 OTT Over 7 31 6 11 30 3 6
09/25/2023 TOR 3 - OTT 4 (OT) OTT Over 6.5 39 4 6 39 3 6
09/24/2023 OTT 3 - TOR 2 OTT Under 6.5 38 2 4 32 3 6
04/01/2023 OTT 0 - TOR 3 TOR Under 7 20 3 3 31 0 0
03/18/2023 OTT 4 - TOR 4 OTT Over 6.5 29 4 8 52 4 7
01/27/2023 TOR 2 - OTT 6 OTT Over 6 34 6 7 33 2 4
10/15/2022 TOR 3 - OTT 2 OTT Under 6.5 28 2 4 32 3 6
09/30/2022 OTT 3 - TOR 6 TOR Over 6.5 0 6 9 0 3 5
09/24/2022 TOR 2 - OTT 4 OTT Over 0 27 4 7 23 2 4
03/30/2019 OTT 4 - TOR 2 OTT +1.5 Under 7 22 4 7 44 2 3

Ottawa Last 10 Meetings

date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/22/2025 TOR 3 - OTT 2 L Under 6 28 2 4
04/20/2025 TOR 6 - OTT 2 L Over 5.5 33 2 4
04/17/2025 OTT 7 - CAR 5 W Over 5.5 33 5 7
04/15/2025 OTT 3 - CHI 4 (OT) L Over 6 16 4 7
04/13/2025 OTT 4 - PHI 3 L Over 6 32 3 5
04/11/2025 OTT 5 - MON 2 W Over 5.5 22 2 4
04/08/2025 CLB 5 - OTT 2 L Over 6 35 2 4
04/06/2025 OTT 4 - CLB 0 W Under 6 29 0 0
04/05/2025 OTT 3 - FLA 0 W Under 5.5 39 0 0
04/03/2025 OTT 2 - TB 1 W Under 6 32 1 2

Toronto Last 10 Meetings

date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/22/2025 TOR 3 - OTT 2 W Under 6 21 3 5
04/20/2025 TOR 6 - OTT 2 W Over 5.5 24 6 10
04/17/2025 TOR 4 - DET 3 W Over 6 20 4 8
04/15/2025 BUF 0 - TOR 4 W Under 6.5 35 0 0
04/13/2025 CAR 1 - TOR 4 W Under 6 26 1 2
04/12/2025 TOR 1 - MON 0 L Under 6 35 1 2
04/09/2025 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) W Over 6 28 3 6
04/08/2025 FLA 3 - TOR 1 L Under 5.5 37 3 3
04/05/2025 TOR 5 - CLB 0 W Under 6.5 27 5 8
04/02/2025 TOR 3 - FLA 2 L Under 5.5 26 3 5

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Senators OTT
Maple Leafs TOR
avg rank edge in rank avg
2.9 8 Goals Per Game 5 3.2
2.8 5 Goals Against Per Game 5 2.8
29.3 7 Shots Per Game 14 28.1
28.6 14 Shots Against Per Game 18 29.3
9.9 16 Shooting % 5 11.6
9.8 6 Opponent Shooting % 3 9.5
0.72 11 Shot Differential Per Game 21 -1.16
9.9 16 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 5 11.6
.900 2 Save % 2 .900
.900 4 Opponent Save % 2 .880
8.5 8 Penalty Minutes Per Game 13 7.9
0.75 3 Power Play Goals Per Game 9 0.67
0.62 13 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 14 0.63
23.4 13 Power Play % 7 25.0
77.9 16 Penalty Kill % 14 78.1
1.84 13 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 18 1.76

Odds Analysis

Overall W/L Records

Team Overall Home Away Div
Senators 53-26-2-2 28-13-0-1 25-13-2-1 18-8-1
Maple Leafs 45-31-5-2 27-11-3 18-20-2-2 14-12-1

ATS vs Closing Line

Team Overall Home Away Div
Senators 42-41 22-20 20-21 16-11
Maple Leafs 35-48 17-24 18-24 11-16

O/U Records

Team Overall Home Away Div
Senators 39-40-4 15-25-2 24-15-2 14-11-2
Maple Leafs 36-39-8 19-18-4 17-21-4 12-13-2

Team Rankings - offence

Senators
Season stats rank
Goals 2.95 19
Shots 29.3 9
Power Play (%) 24 11
Faceoff (%) 53 5
Penalty Mins 698 13
Maple Leafs
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 8
Shots 28.01 19
Power Play (%) 25 9
Faceoff (%) 54 3
Penalty Mins 644 18

Team Rankings - defence

Senators
Season stats rank
Goals Against 2.83 13
Shots Against 28.61 19
Penalty Kill (%) 78 18
Shutouts 10 2
Penalty Mins 810 32
Maple Leafs
Season stats rank
Goals Against 2.79 9
Shots Against 29.33 25
Penalty Kill (%) 78 20
Shutouts 5 14
Penalty Mins 619 11

Injuries

Thomas Chabot (D)
Out Thurs Rest - 17 / 04 / 25

Hayden Hodgson (RW)
Ques Thurs Lower Body - 15 / 04 / 25

Ridly Greig (C)
Ques Tues Undisclosed - 13 / 04 / 25

Nick Jensen (D)
Ques Tues Lower Body - 17 / 03 / 25

Travis Hamonic (D)
Ques Sat Lower Body - 08 / 03 / 25

Tyler Kleven (D)
Ques Mar 10 Lower Body - 27 / 02 / 25

Thomas Chabot (D)
Ques Sat Hand - 18 / 02 / 25

Shane Pinto (C)
Ques Sat Upper Body - 05 / 02 / 25

Josh Norris (C)
Out indefinitely Upper Body - 02 / 02 / 25

Nick Cousins (C)
Out indefinitely Lower Body - 25 / 01 / 25

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D)
Ques Sun Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 25

David Kampf (C)
Ques Thurs Upper Body - 03 / 04 / 25

Jake McCabe (D)
Out indefinitely Undisclosed - 03 / 04 / 25

Steven Lorentz (C)
Ques Wed Undisclosed - 02 / 03 / 25

Joseph Woll (G)
Ques Sun Illness - 28 / 02 / 25

Max Pacioretty (LW)
Out Indefinitely Undisclosed - 20 / 02 / 25

Conor Timmins (D)
Ques Sat Upper Body - 05 / 02 / 25

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D)
Ques Thurs Lower Body - 01 / 02 / 25

Matthew Knies (LW)
Prob Sat Upper Body - 23 / 01 / 25

Connor Dewar (C)
Out indefinitely Upper Body - 21 / 01 / 25

Injuries

player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes
Thomas Chabot (D) Out Thurs Rest - 17 / 04 / 25 1-2 3-0 + -

Chabot will not dress in Thursday's game against the Hurricanes, he will rest.
Hayden Hodgson (RW) Ques Thurs Lower Body - 15 / 04 / 25 1-3 4-0 + -

Hodgson is bothered by a lower-body injury, and it is unclear if he will play Game 3 of playoff against the Maple Leafs on Thursday.
Ridly Greig (C) Ques Tues Undisclosed - 13 / 04 / 25 2-3 5-0 + -

Greig is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will return to action against the Blackhawks on Tuesday.
Nick Jensen (D) Ques Tues Lower Body - 17 / 03 / 25 7-11 9-7-2 + -

Jensen is dealing with a lower-body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Sabres on Tuesday.
Travis Hamonic (D) Ques Sat Lower Body - 08 / 03 / 25 9-14 13-8-2 + -

Hamonic missed the last four contests due to a lower body injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Maple Leafs on Saturday.
Tyler Kleven (D) Ques Mar 10 Lower Body - 27 / 02 / 25 11-15 15-9-2 + -

Kleven dealing with a lower body injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Red Wings on Monday, March 10th.
Thomas Chabot (D) Ques Sat Hand - 18 / 02 / 25 11-17 17-9-2 + -

Chabot suffered a cut on his hand, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Canadians on Saturday.
Shane Pinto (C) Ques Sat Upper Body - 05 / 02 / 25 12-18 19-9-2 + -

Pinto is dealing with an upper-body injury, and it is uncertain if he will face the Sharks on Saturday.
Josh Norris (C) Out indefinitely Upper Body - 02 / 02 / 25 14-18 21-9-2 + -

Norris is out of commission due to a mid-body injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
Nick Cousins (C) Out indefinitely Lower Body - 25 / 01 / 25 16-20 22-12-2 + -

Cousins underwent knee surgery, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) Ques Sun Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 25 4-2 3-3 + -

Ekman-Larsson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will dress for Game 1 of the playoffs versus Senators on Sunday.
David Kampf (C) Ques Thurs Upper Body - 03 / 04 / 25 5-4 3-6 + -

Kamf is fighting off an upper body injury, and it is unclear if he will play Game 3 of the playoffs versus the Senators on Thursday.
Jake McCabe (D) Out indefinitely Undisclosed - 03 / 04 / 25 5-4 3-6 + -

McCabe is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Steven Lorentz (C) Ques Wed Undisclosed - 02 / 03 / 25 11-14 12-12-1 + -

Lorentz is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will participate against the Golden Knights on Wednesday.
Joseph Woll (G) Ques Sun Illness - 28 / 02 / 25 11-15 13-12-1 + -

Woll is dealing with an illness, it is unclear if he will play against the Penguins on Sunday
Max Pacioretty (LW) Out Indefinitely Undisclosed - 20 / 02 / 25 13-16 15-13-1 + -

Pacioretty has been placed on the long term injured reserve list with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
Conor Timmins (D) Ques Sat Upper Body - 05 / 02 / 25 16-16 17-14-1 + -

Timmins suffered an upper body injury, and it is unclear if he will take part in Saturday's clash against the Hurricanes.
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) Ques Thurs Lower Body - 01 / 02 / 25 16-17 17-15-1 + -

Ekman-Larsson missed the previous game with a lower body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Kraken on Thursday.
Matthew Knies (LW) Prob Sat Upper Body - 23 / 01 / 25 17-19 18-17-1 + -

Knies is nursing an upper-body injury, but he is likely to be active against the Oilers on Saturday.
Connor Dewar (C) Out indefinitely Upper Body - 21 / 01 / 25 18-19 19-17-1 + -

Dewar has landed on the injured reserve list with an upper body injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for recovery.

Ottawa News + Tweets

Toronto News + Tweets

Ottawa Vs Toronto Betting Trends

Senators are 2-5 in their last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Under is 20-5-1 in Senators last 26 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-0 in Senators last 5 Saturday games.

Senators are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 10-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 14 Saturday games.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 38-18-2 in Maple Leafs last 58 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 5-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Maple Leafs are 7-3 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.

Senators are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.

Senators are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Underdog is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Road team is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Atlantic Standings

Team Win / Loss ATS OU
52-26 35-48 36-39-8
47-27 43-39 38-38-6
47-31 43-39 38-38-6
45-30 42-41 39-40-4
40-31 46-36 38-38-6
39-35 47-34 39-36-6
36-39 40-41 39-40-2
33-39 32-48 30-46-4
  • OTT
  • +115 -135
  • TOR
NHL Odds