Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Odds NHL Odds

March 6, 2024, 07:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena

Betting Action

No odds are available yet.

  • Regular Season
  • Playoffs

Team Leaders

BUF TOR
Points

Rasmus Dahlin

59

Auston Matthews

107
+ / -

Henri Jokiharju

14

Auston Matthews

31
Shots

Tage Thompson

246

Auston Matthews

369
Penalty Mins

Connor Clifton

68

Max Domi

118
Wins

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

27

Ilya Samsonov

23
GAA

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2.57

Martin Jones

2.87
BUF TOR
Points

Max Domi

4
+ / -

Ilya Lyubushkin

4
Shots Did not qualify

John Tavares

22
Penalty Mins

Max Domi

6
Wins

Joseph Woll

2
GAA

Joseph Woll

0.86

Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs jump back onto the saddle on Wednesday by hosting struggling regional rivals the Buffalo Sabres.

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Buffalo 29 29 5-4-1 1W 34-28 -165 14-17-0-1 15-12-3 24-35-3
Toronto 35 18 5-4-1 4L 21-40 -1483 17-12-2 18-6-5-1 32-26-3
  • Recent Meetings
  • BUF Last 10
  • TOR Last 10

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists BUF:Shots BUF:Goals BUF:Assists
04/15/2025 BUF 0 - TOR 4 TOR Under 6.5 32 4 6 35 0 0
12/20/2024 BUF 3 - TOR 6 TOR Over 6.5 29 6 12 27 3 6
12/15/2024 TOR 5 - BUF 3 TOR Over 6 27 3 6 41 5 10
03/30/2024 BUF 0 - TOR 3 TOR Under 6.5 22 3 4 34 0 0
03/06/2024 TOR 2 - BUF 1 BUF Under 6.5 27 2 4 25 1 1
12/21/2023 BUF 9 - TOR 3 BUF Over 7 27 3 4 34 9 15
11/04/2023 TOR 4 - BUF 6 BUF Over 7 28 4 7 41 6 7
09/27/2023 TOR 5 - BUF 2 TOR Over 6 41 5 9 15 2 3
03/13/2023 TOR 3 - BUF 4 BUF Under 7 29 4 8 28 3 5
02/21/2023 BUF 3 - TOR 6 TOR Over 7 29 6 11 32 3 5
11/19/2022 TOR 5 - BUF 2 TOR Over 6.5 34 2 4 23 5 9
04/12/2022 TOR 2 - BUF 5 BUF Under 7 28 5 7 26 2 4
03/13/2022 BUF 5 - TOR 2 BUF Over 6.5 36 2 4 38 5 6
03/02/2022 TOR 1 - BUF 5 BUF Under 6.5 31 5 8 30 1 2
11/13/2021 BUF 4 - TOR 5 BUF Over 6 26 5 9 27 4 6
02/16/2020 BUF 5 - TOR 2 BUF Over 6.5 22 2 4 36 5 8
12/17/2019 TOR 5 - BUF 3 TOR Over 6.5 30 3 6 33 5 6
11/30/2019 TOR 2 - BUF 1 BUF Under 6.5 30 1 2 43 2 4
11/29/2019 BUF 6 - TOR 4 BUF Over 6.5 29 4 6 36 6 8
09/21/2019 BUF 5 - TOR 3 BUF Over 0 34 3 5 32 5 7

Buffalo Last 10 Meetings

date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/15/2024 TB 2 - BUF 4 W Under 6 34 4 7
04/13/2024 FLA 3 - BUF 2 W Under 5.5 29 2 4
04/11/2024 BUF 4 - WAS 2 W Under 6 24 2 4
04/09/2024 DAL 3 - BUF 2 W Under 6 21 2 4
04/07/2024 DET 3 - BUF 1 L Under 6.5 38 1 2
04/05/2024 BUF 4 - PHI 2 W Under 6 34 2 4
04/02/2024 BUF 6 - WAS 2 W Over 6 26 2 4
03/30/2024 BUF 0 - TOR 3 L Under 6.5 22 3 4
03/29/2024 BUF 5 - NJ 2 W Over 6.5 30 2 4
03/27/2024 BUF 2 - OTT 6 L Over 6.5 42 6 11

Toronto Last 10 Meetings

date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/04/2024 BOS 2 - TOR 1 W Under 5 32 2 4
05/02/2024 TOR 2 - BOS 1 W Under 5.5 26 2 4
04/30/2024 BOS 1 - TOR 2 (OT) W Under 5.5 28 1 1
04/27/2024 TOR 1 - BOS 3 L Under 6 25 1 2
04/24/2024 TOR 2 - BOS 4 L Under 6 30 2 4
04/22/2024 BOS 2 - TOR 3 W Under 6 29 2 4
04/20/2024 BOS 5 - TOR 1 L Over 5.5 25 5 9
04/17/2024 TB 6 - TOR 4 L Over 7 32 6 11
04/16/2024 FLA 5 - TOR 2 L Over 6 42 5 8
04/13/2024 TOR 4 - DET 5 (OT) L Over 6.5 36 4 5

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Sabres BUF
Maple Leafs TOR
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.0 7 Goals Per Game 2 3.6
3.0 6 Goals Against Per Game 8 3.2
30.9 14 Shots Per Game 6 32.6
29.3 9 Shots Against Per Game 13 29.8
9.6 16 Shooting % 4 11.2
10.1 12 Opponent Shooting % 17 10.7
1.61 14 Shot Differential Per Game 8 2.74
9.6 16 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 4 11.2
.900 3 Save % 4 .890
.900 3 Opponent Save % 2 .890
9.7 10 Penalty Minutes Per Game 9 9.9
0.45 22 Power Play Goals Per Game 9 0.7
0.6 9 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 12 0.67
16.6 24 Power Play % 7 23.9
79.8 11 Penalty Kill % 19 76.9
2 10 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 20 1.81

Odds Analysis

Overall W/L Records

Team Overall Home Away Div
Sabres 38-37-5-1 21-19-0-1 17-18-5 10-12-2-1
Maple Leafs 50-22-13-3 25-12-6-1 25-10-7-2 21-7-3-1

ATS vs Closing Line

Team Overall Home Away Div
Sabres 47-34 22-19 25-15 11-14
Maple Leafs 42-46 19-25 23-21 17-15

O/U Records

Team Overall Home Away Div
Sabres 30-46-5 16-23-2 14-23-3 9-16
Maple Leafs 36-48-4 18-24-2 18-24-2 12-19-1

Team Rankings - offence

Sabres
Season stats rank
Goals 2.98 23
Shots 30.9 15
Power Play (%) 17 27
Faceoff (%) 45 32
Penalty Mins 797 10
Maple Leafs
Season stats rank
Goals 3.63 2
Shots 32.57 7
Power Play (%) 24 8
Faceoff (%) 53 6
Penalty Mins 815 9

Team Rankings - defence

Sabres
Season stats rank
Goals Against 2.96 12
Shots Against 29.29 9
Penalty Kill (%) 80 14
Shutouts 5 13
Penalty Mins 753 15
Maple Leafs
Season stats rank
Goals Against 3.18 21
Shots Against 29.83 17
Penalty Kill (%) 77 22
Shutouts 5 14
Penalty Mins 837 26

Injuries

Mattias Samuelsson (D)
Out indefinitely Upper Body - 16 / 04 / 24

Tyson Jost (C)
Ques Sat Undisclosed - 12 / 04 / 24

Bowen Byram (D)
Ques Sat Personal - 11 / 04 / 24

Jacob Bryson (D)
Prob Tues Upper Body - 07 / 04 / 24

Zemgus Girgensons (LW)
Prob Tues Illness - 07 / 04 / 24

Jordan Greenway (LW)
Prob Sun Upper Body - 01 / 04 / 24

Jordan Greenway (LW)
Prob Fri Undisclosed - 28 / 03 / 24

Lukas Rousek (RW)
Prob Tues Face - 26 / 03 / 24

Tyson Jost (C)
Prob Fri Undisclosed - 24 / 03 / 24

Tyson Jost (C)
Ques Sat Knee - 14 / 03 / 24

Ilya Lyubushkin (D)
Prob Sat Personal - 26 / 04 / 24

Max Domi (C)
Prob Sat Undisclosed - 15 / 04 / 24

Bobby McMann (C)
Out Sat Lower Body - 13 / 04 / 24

Joel Edmundson (D)
Ques Tues Undisclosed - 13 / 04 / 24

Max Domi (C)
Prob Sat Undisclosed - 12 / 04 / 24

Timothy Liljegren (D)
Out indefinitely Upper Body - 28 / 03 / 24

Joel Edmundson (D)
Prob Thurs Undisclosed - 26 / 03 / 24

Ilya Samsonov (G)
Ques Thurs Lower Body - 23 / 03 / 24

Tyler Bertuzzi (LW)
Prob Sun Illness - 22 / 03 / 24

Ryan Reaves (RW)
Ques Sat Undisclosed - 20 / 03 / 24

Injuries

player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes
Mattias Samuelsson (D) Out indefinitely Upper Body - 16 / 04 / 24 0-0 0-0 + -

Samuelsson has landed on the injured reserve list with an upper-body injury, and it is unknown when he will return to action.
Tyson Jost (C) Ques Sat Undisclosed - 12 / 04 / 24 2-0 0-1-1 + -

Jost was removed from the previous contest with an unknown ailment, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up Saturday against the Panthers.
Bowen Byram (D) Ques Sat Personal - 11 / 04 / 24 3-0 0-2-1 + -

Byram missed the last game due to a personal matter, and it is unknown if he will take on the Panthers in Saturday's showdown.
Jacob Bryson (D) Prob Tues Upper Body - 07 / 04 / 24 4-1 0-3-2 + -

Bryson exited the last contest with an upper-body injury, but it is expected that he will be available for Tuesday's matchup versus the Stars.
Zemgus Girgensons (LW) Prob Tues Illness - 07 / 04 / 24 4-1 0-3-2 + -

Girgensons was absent from the previous game due to an illness, but it is likely that he will play against the Stars on Tuesday.
Jordan Greenway (LW) Prob Sun Upper Body - 01 / 04 / 24 5-2 1-4-2 + -

Greenway has been absent from the last two matches due to an upper-body ailment, but it will not affect his status for Sunday's battle with the Red Wings.
Jordan Greenway (LW) Prob Fri Undisclosed - 28 / 03 / 24 6-3 3-4-2 + -

Greenway is dealing with an unknown ailment, but it is expected that he will face the Devils on Friday.
Lukas Rousek (RW) Prob Tues Face - 26 / 03 / 24 7-3 3-5-2 + -

Rousek has missed the last three contests with a facial injury, but it is forecasted that he will face the Capitals on Tuesday.
Tyson Jost (C) Prob Fri Undisclosed - 24 / 03 / 24 7-4 4-5-2 + -

Jost has been absent from the previous two games with an unspecified issue, but it is forecasted that he will lace up for Friday's showdown against the Devils.
Tyson Jost (C) Ques Sat Knee - 14 / 03 / 24 11-5 6-8-2 + -

Jost exited the last game with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will participate in Saturday's battle with the Red Wings.
player (position) status ats*current o/u* notes
Ilya Lyubushkin (D) Prob Sat Personal - 26 / 04 / 24 1-3 0-3-1 + -

Lyubushkin is dealing with a personal matter, but it is not expected to impact his availability versus the Bruins in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference first round.
Max Domi (C) Prob Sat Undisclosed - 15 / 04 / 24 2-7 4-4-1 + -

Domi is dealing with an unknown issue, but it is forecasted that he will dress for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference first round versus the Bruins.
Bobby McMann (C) Out Sat Lower Body - 13 / 04 / 24 2-8 5-4-1 + -

McMann is hampered by a lower-body injury, and he will not suit up against the Bruins for Game 7 of the Eastern Conference first round.
Joel Edmundson (D) Ques Tues Undisclosed - 13 / 04 / 24 2-8 5-4-1 + -

Edmundson was absent from the last match with an unspecified injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up Tuesday against the Panthers.
Max Domi (C) Prob Sat Undisclosed - 12 / 04 / 24 2-8 5-4-1 + -

Domi is dealing with an unknown ailment, but it is not expected to impact his status for Saturday's battle against the Red Wings.
Timothy Liljegren (D) Out indefinitely Upper Body - 28 / 03 / 24 7-11 8-8-2 + -

Liljegren is sidelined with an upper-body injury, and the severity of the ailment is unknown.
Joel Edmundson (D) Prob Thurs Undisclosed - 26 / 03 / 24 8-11 8-9-2 + -

Edmundson has been idle with an unspecified ailment, but he is likely to return Thursday against the Devils.
Ilya Samsonov (G) Ques Thurs Lower Body - 23 / 03 / 24 10-11 10-9-2 + -

Samsonov has been absent from the last two contests with a lower-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will face the Capitals on Thursday.
Tyler Bertuzzi (LW) Prob Sun Illness - 22 / 03 / 24 10-11 10-9-2 + -

Bertuzzi missed the last game with an illness, but it is projected that he will be in Sunday's lineup versus the Hurricanes.
Ryan Reaves (RW) Ques Sat Undisclosed - 20 / 03 / 24 10-12 11-9-2 + -

Reaves was absent from the last match with an unknown injury, and it remains to be seen if he will face the Oilers on Saturday.

Buffalo News + Tweets

Toronto News + Tweets

Buffalo Vs Toronto Betting Trends

Over is 5-1-1 in Sabres last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Sabres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Sabres are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 5-2-1 in Sabres last 8 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 34-106 in their last 140 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Maple Leafs are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 11-5 in Maple Leafs last 16 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Under is 7-2 in Maple Leafs last 9 games as a home underdog.

Under is 30-14-1 in Maple Leafs last 45 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 32-14-5 in the last 51 meetings.

Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.

Sabres are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Sabres are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Underdog is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Atlantic Standings

Team Win / Loss ATS OU
52-24 47-59 48-53-5
47-20 45-47 36-53-3
46-26 42-46 36-48-4
45-29 43-43 41-40-5
41-32 46-35 45-35-1
39-37 47-34 30-46-5
37-41 41-40 41-36-4
30-36 46-35 45-35-1
  • BUF
  • +150 -185
  • TOR
NHL Odds