Vikings vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 4 Odds

Frank Doyle | Updated Sep 24, 2019

chicago bears defence

The Bears defence might just be getting warmed up. In Week 3 Chicago had four sacks, two fumble recoveries and three interceptions - one of which was a pick-six.

Minnesota
10-6
AT
September 29, 2019, 4:25 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
8-8
Pointspread +1 -110
Moneyline -106
Over / Under o +38

59%

Betting Action

41%

Pointspread -1 -110
Moneyline -114
Over / Under u +38

59%

Betting Action

41%

The Chicago Bears got their mojo back with a convincing win at Washington in Week 3’s Monday Night Football game and it was just in time, too, with this NFC North battle against the Minnesota Vikings looming. The Vikes haven’t really found their groove yet either, but hit the ground running last week and took care of business easily at home against the Oakland Raiders. It’s crowded already at the top of the NFC North standings, so this is a big one on Sunday.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Vikings are 2-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS), while the Bears covered the number for the first time this year against Washington. With a over/under of 38 points, this is the lowest total on the board for Week 3 and rightfully so. The Vikings rank sixth overall allowing 15.7 points per game, while the Bears sit third giving up 13 points per contest. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have played under their posted totals as well.

The betting public jumped on Minnesota +3 quickly, which could force oddsmakers to move the point spread to Chicago -2.5 before long.

Minnesota Vikings

When the Vikings are running the ball well and stick to it with Kirk Cousins sprinkling in a few throws to mix it up, they can churn out a lot of yards. Last week they rushed 38 times for 211 yards and three touchdowns against the Raiders, while Cousins connected on 15 of his 21 attempts for 157 yards and one touchdown.

Most importantly, the Minnesota quarterback didn’t turn the ball over. Ball security will be a the top of the Vikings’ checklist again this week against the Bears, but don’t expect them to run through Chicago like they did with Oakland. Dalvin Cook may lead the league in rushing with 375 yards through three games, but the Bears defence gives up just 68.7 yards per game (third overall) on the ground.

Chicago Bears

Mitchell Trubisky bounced back with his best game of the year against Washington, going 25-of-31 for 231 yards and three touchdowns with one interception. With head coach Matt Nagy focusing the game plan on quick-hitting passing plays and a steady dose of the run, Chicago’s offence finally showed some life. Nine different players had a reception in Week 3 as Taylor Gabriel paced the team with six catches for 75 yards and three touchdowns. Rookie running back David Montgomery continues to look good and had 67 rushing yards on 13 carries, but is criminally underused in this offence. Nagy would be wise to get the ball in Montgomery’s hands early and often against the Vikings to establish the run.

With both teams leaning on the ground game, field position and turnovers may end up being the difference. That’s where the Bears have the edge at home. Against Washington Chicago had four sacks, two fumble recoveries and three interceptions – one of which was a pick six. This Bears defence looks like it’s just getting warmed up.

Who Will Win Vikings vs. Bears?

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