Vikings vs. Washington Point Spread: NFL Week 10 Prediction, Pick

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 14, 2017

vikings mckinnon

The Redskins will look to build on their first cover in more than a month as they host the vaunted Minnesota Vikings defence on Sunday.

Minnesota
13-3
AT
November 12, 2017, 1:00 PM ET
FedExField
Pointspread 0 -110
Moneyline -115
Over / Under o +43

53%

Betting Action

47%

Pointspread 0 -110
Moneyline -105
Over / Under u +43

53%

Betting Action

47%

If the Washington Redskins make the postseason in 2017, they’ll likely point to last week’s statement win in Seattle as the catalyst.  A three-point win over the host Seahawks as an eight-point underdog was a significant development for a Redskins team that has slogged its way through most of the season.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Redskins are an underdog for the eighth time in nine games this season; they were only favored against San Francisco in Week 6, and fell well short of covering the -12 with a narrow two-point victory. Team trends are working against Washington, which has covered just once in its last six home games and is 1-5 ATS in its previous six games following a successful cover. Minnesota has covered in 36 of its previous 51 games overall.

There’s a 60-40 split in favour of the Vikings on Sports Interaction; the over/under result is far more emphatic, with 89 percent opting to go over the 45.5-point total. Here, the team trends deviate; the Vikings have gone beneath the total 16 times in their previous 24 road games, while the Redskins have played to the over in 22 of their previous 29 games overall. The teams have gone over in each of their previous five head-to-head meetings.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings were plagued by offensive inconsistency in the early going, but appear to have found their footing, averaging nearly 27 points over the course of their three-game winning and cover streak. Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 when scoring 20 or more points, a testament to a relentless defence that ranks third in points allowed per game (16.9), second in opponent third-down conversion rate (27.2 percent) and third in red-zone TD rate against (40 percent).

Washington Redskins

The Redskins might not have much choice but to ignore the run in this one; they’re averaging a minuscule 3.8 yards per carry while the Vikings allow the third-fewest yards per game on the ground (81.4). That puts the burden on QB Kirk Cousins, who has thrown for just two TDs over his past two games after recording multiple TD passes in four consecutive games prior. Cousins threw for 262 yards and two TDs in the Redskins’ 26-20 win over the Vikings last season.

Vikings vs Redskins Prediction

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