Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Spread: NFL Week 12 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Nov 20, 2017

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Week 12 kicks off with three games on Thursday to celebrate American Thanksgiving.

Minnesota
13-3
AT
November 23, 2017, 12:30 PM ET
Ford Field
Detroit
9-7
Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -140
Over / Under o +46.5

61%

Betting Action

39%

Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +120
Over / Under u +46.5

61%

Betting Action

39%

It’s the Thanksgiving holiday in the USA on Thursday, and that means the NFL three-game slate kicks off at lunchtime from Detroit, which has hosted the Turkey Day opener almost every year since 1935. The opponent this year is NFC North rival Minnesota.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Detroit goes for the season sweep of Minnesota. In Week 4, the Lions were 2.5-point underdogs at U.S. Bank Stadium and won 14-7. Defense was clearly the story of the day as neither team had more than 284 yards. The difference was that the Lions didn’t turn the ball over, while the Vikings did three times. Detroit turned two fumbles in the third quarter into 11 points. That loss was doubly costly for Minnesota because star rookie running back Dalvin Cook suffered a season-ending injury.

This year marks the first time since 1979-80 (Chicago) that the Lions have hosted the same team on Thanksgiving in back-to-back seasons. In 2016, Detroit beat Minnesota 16-13 in another defensive battle. Darius Slay picked off a Sam Bradford pass – Bradford is out for this season – with under a minute left and it set up Matt Prater’s 40-yard field goal as time expired. Some questioned the Vikings for not simply going to overtime, but they got the ball with 1:45 left at their own 25. That’s plenty of time to get into field-goal range. Bradford simply made a terrible throw. The Lions have won three of the past four at home in this series (2-2 ATS).

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) play back-to-back Thanksgiving games for the first time in 30 years. They lead the NFC North by two games over Detroit and have won six in a row.

Latavius Murray rushed for 95 yards and two scores in Sunday’s 24-7 win over a very good Rams team. That Minnesota defense held one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses to a season-low in points and just 254 yards. The Vikings largely kept that L.A. offense off the field thanks to 27 first downs and holding the ball for 37:22. Adam Thielen had a 65-yard TD catch from Case Keenum. It tied for the longest TD pass of Keenum’s career and was the third straight game that Thielen had a TD reception after none in the first seven.

Detroit Lions

The Lions (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) have won their past four on Thanksgiving and are 37-38-2 all-time on the holiday. They pretty much must win this game to have any shot catching Minnesota in the division, and Detroit would obviously hold the tiebreaker with a season sweep.

The Lions won a third straight Sunday, 27-24 at Chicago. Prater kicked the winning 52-yard field goal with 1:35 left. Matt Stafford threw for 299 yards and two scores, and Detroit had its seventh return touchdown of the season (DJ Hayden on a fumble), tying a team record. Rather amazingly, the Lions are now 3-1 in games this season in which they have trailed by double digits in the first quarter.

Vikings vs. Lions Prediction

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