Texans vs. Jaguars Point Spread: NFL Week 5 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Oct 05, 2022

The Jaguars' hot start has put them in first place in the AFC South after a month of football, and their Week 5 opponent is a familiar divisional opponent in the last-place Texans.

Houston
1-9
AT
October 09, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
TIAA Bank Field
Pointspread +7 -113
Moneyline +260
Over / Under o +43.5

29%

Betting Action

71%

Pointspread -7 -107
Moneyline -315
Over / Under u +43.5

29%

Betting Action

71%

At 2-2 Jacksonville’s the lone AFC South club with a point differential better than -20, and the only team in the division with more than 75 points scored. Houston meanwhile is the only team in the NFL without a win at 0-3-1.

The Jags are coming off a 29-21 loss at Philadelphia which saw them struggle on offence, but keep on the scoreboard with the league’s only unbeaten team. Houston scored a season-high 24 points in Week 4 but in turn gave up a season-high 34 in a losing effort versus the Los Angeles Chargers.

Kickoff Sunday at TIAA Bank Field gets going at 1 p.m. EDT with Jacksonville a seven-point favourite at home and the over-under listed at 44.5 on the NFL odds.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Texans are carrying an eight-game win streak versus the Jaguars that dates back to 2017. Jacksonville’s averaged 17.5 points per outing in their last 10 meetings with Houston, but also allowed 37 and 30 points in their two divisional clashes last season. Things are a little different in 2022 though with Jacksonville boasting a top-six offence scoring 26.3 points per game.

Houston meanwhile is 2-10 outright in their last 12 appearances on the road. Jacksonville’s covered In one of their last eight outings in October which includes last week, and then are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Week 5 games.

Houston Texans

A 34-24 defeat was a pretty result for Houston considering they trailed 27-7 to the Chargers at halftime. Houston’s lone first-half score came on a career-long 75-yard touchdown rush by rookie Dameon Pierce, who is now 10th in the NFL with 313 rushing yards. Davis Mills passed for a season-high 246 yards but also threw two interceptions for the second straight outing.

Nico Collins led Houston with three catches for 82 yards while Brandin Cooks picked up a game-high seven grabs for 52 yards and a score. Collins and Cooks are the only Texans pass-catchers with more than 108 receiving yards through four games, as each have just over 200 yards.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Despite jumping out to a 14-0 lead at Philadelphia, the Jags felt the wrath of the first-half/second quarter Eagles who responding with a 20-0 second quarter. Philadelphia extended their lead to 29-14 with 29 unanswered points, as Trevor Lawrence’s second touchdown pass of the day to Jamal Agnew at the end of the game wasn’t enough and Jacksonville fell 29-21.

With four fumbles, quarterback Trevor Lawrence became the first player this century to reach this lowly feat. Lawrence passed for a season-low 174 yards and threw an interception to make it five turnovers in the loss. Jacksonville also gave up an abnormal 210 yards on the ground, which now makes them the eighth-best rush defence with 93.8 yards against per game.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Texans vs. Jaguars?

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