Super Bowl 52 Prediction: Eagles vs. Patriots Point Spread, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jan 22, 2018


It’s a chalk Super Bowl LII matchup from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on Feb. 4 as the AFC top-seeded New England Patriots face the NFC No. 1 Philadelphia Eagles. The Patriots look for the franchise’s sixth Super Bowl title and the Eagles their first.

February 04, 2018, 6:30 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
Pointspread +4.5 -110
Moneyline +155
Over / Under o +49
Pointspread -4.5 -110
Moneyline -185
Over / Under u +49

It’s the third trip to the Super Bowl for the Eagles. They lost XXXIX to the Patriots (24-21) and also following the 1980 season to the Raiders. New England makes its record 10th trip to the big game and tries to become the first team to repeat since the 2004 Patriots.

Super Bowl LII  Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Philadelphia is 7-6 all-time against New England, including that one playoff meeting. The teams last played on Dec. 6, 2015, a 35-28 Eagles home victory. Philadelphia scored about every way imaginable that day, including on a 24-yard blocked punt return, 99-yard interception return and 83-yard punt return. The Eagles QB was Sam Bradford. The Patriots’ Tom Brady threw for 312 yards and three scores but had two interceptions. New England’s leading rusher was LeGarrette Blount with 54 yards on 13 carries – he’s now with the Eagles.

The Patriots were 3-point favourites in last year’s Super Bowl and rallied from a 28-3 late third-quarter deficit to beat the Falcons 34-28 in overtime – the first Super Bowl to go OT. New England has now been favoured in six of eight Super Bowls under Brady. The Patriots’ only two losses were as favourites against the Giants in XLVI and XLII. The underdog had won five straight Super Bowls until last year.

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia was an underdog in each of its two playoff games as oddsmakers clearly didn’t have much faith in backup quarterback Nick Foles; star Carson Wentz was of course lost to a season-ending torn ACL in Week 14. Philly is trying to become the first team since the Ravens following the 2012 season to win three straight playoff games as a dog.

Foles is looking to become the 10th backup QB to win a Super Bowl. The last?  Brady in the 2001 season (although he took over for an injured Drew Bledsoe very early in the year). Foles was magnificent in the Eagles’ shockingly easy 38-7 win over Minnesota in the NFC title game by throwing for 352 yards and three touchdowns against the NFL’s top-rated defence.

New England Patriots

For what it’s worth, the Patriots will be the home team in Minneapolis. They rallied from a 20-10 fourth-quarter deficit on Sunday to beat Jacksonville 24-20 in the AFC title game. Brady, who had gashed his right thumb during practice last week and played with tape on it, hit Danny Amendola on a 9-yard TD pass with 8:44 to go and then again with 2:48 left from 4 yards out for the winning score. It was Brady’s fourth career playoff victory as a starting quarterback with his team trailing by at least 10 points in the fourth quarter (last year’s Super Bowl was also one). No other QB in NFL postseason history has more than one such game.

Brady was without his No. 1 target in star tight end Rob Gronkowski for the second half as Gronk suffered a concussion in the second quarter. That there’s an extra week before the Super Bowl obviously increases his chances of playing.

2018 Super Bowl Prediction: Eagles vs. Patriots