Raiders vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Week 3 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Sep 24, 2020

Cam Newton, Patriots, 2020

The emergence of Cam Newton as a threat on the ground has changed the entire complexion of the New England offence. Newton already has 11 red-zone rushing attempts through two games.

Las Vegas
8-8
AT
September 27, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread +7 -110
Moneyline +256
Over / Under o +47

47%

Betting Action

53%

Pointspread -7 -110
Moneyline -310
Over / Under u +47

47%

Betting Action

53%

Both the Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots have surprised people early in the NFL season as they prepare to face off Sunday at Gillette Stadium. The Raiders have used a potent offensive attack to open the season with two wins and a pair of covers, but are still considerable underdogs for their Week 3 encounter with a Patriots team that has split its first two games behind a new offensive approach spearheaded by former MVP quarterback Cam Newton.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

New England is a six-point home favourite in the first meeting between the teams in New England since 2014. But the Raiders have been a surprisingly potent cover option early in the season in recent years, having gone 11-3 ATS in their last 14 September road games. That runs headlong into a strong New England trend, with the Patriots having gone 4-1 ATS in their last five home games in the opening month of the season.

The public has loved the Patriots for the better part of two decades, but only 55 percent of Sports Interaction participants are on the home side -6. On the flip side, a whopping 90 percent of respondents are taking the O47 – and both teams’ prevailing trends suggest the Under might be the better play. The Raiders are 5-1 to the Under in their last six road games, while the Pats have converted the Under in six of their previous eight September outings.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders might have a new city, a new stadium and plenty of new faces on offence, but some things have stayed the same: most notably, the connection between quarterback Derek Carr and tight end Darren Waller. Following a breakout 1,145-yard campaign in 2019, Waller has been the team’s No. 1 option in a big way so far this season, turning 24 targets into 18 receptions for 148 yards and a touchdown.

New England Patriots

The Patriots haven’t had a quarterback that can run this well in a very long time – and with all due respect to self-professed speedster Tom Brady, the emergence of Cam Newton as a threat on the ground has changed the entire complexion of the New England offence. Newton already has 11 red-zone rushing attempts through two games – fourth-most in the entire league, and as many as Brady had over the entire 2019 season.

Who Will Win Raiders vs. Patriots?

SportsInteraction