Patriots vs. Ravens Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 9 Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Oct 28, 2019

Lamar Jackson Ravens

Easily the marquee matchup in Week 9 around the NFL is the Sunday night game featuring the unbeaten New England Patriots visiting the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens.

AT
November 03, 2019, 8:20 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore
14-2
Pointspread -3 -115
Moneyline -175
Over / Under o +44.5

81%

Betting Action

19%

Pointspread +3 -105
Moneyline +146
Over / Under u +44.5

81%

Betting Action

19%

The Patriots have been historically dominant in their 8-0 start, but they have played quite possibly the NFL’s easiest schedule. Just one team that New England has beaten currently has a winning record and that’s Buffalo, which was exposed Sunday in a big loss. The Pats have been able to beat up on some of the league’s dregs like the Jets twice, Redskins and winless Dolphins. Let’s just slow down all that talk of another 16-0 regular season as the schedule starts to toughen significantly Sunday night in Baltimore.

It’s a fascinating matchup of polar opposite quarterbacks. Tom Brady will go down as the greatest of all-time but is a pure pocket passer who is about as mobile as molasses. He was a long-shot sixth-round draft pick. The Ravens’ Lamar Jackson is a former Heisman Trophy winner who was a first-round pick. He’s not a very accurate passer but might have no peer in history as a running quarterback. Jackson could be the future of the NFL at that position.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Ravens seem to always play the Patriots tough even though Baltimore is just 1-8 all-time in the regular season and 3-10 including playoffs. The teams haven’t met since Week 14 of the 2016 season – a year in which the Pats would win another Super Bowl – and New England won 30-23 on a Monday night. Jackson was still at Louisville then. Brady threw for 406 yards and three touchdowns.

The road team is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight meetings. The over is 4-1 in the previous five.

New England Patriots

New England remains the clear favourite to win another Super Bowl. That defence is on pace to have one of the greatest seasons in league history. That unit forced three more turnovers – on three straight first-quarter plays – in Sunday’s 27-13 win over Cleveland and scored another touchdown, this time courtesy of a Dont’a Hightower 26-yard fumble return. The Patriots have a turnover differential of plus-17, tied for the fifth-highest turnover margin by a team through its first eight games since 1970. New England’s plus-189 point differential is tied for the third-highest through a team’s first eight games in history.

Again, though, the Pats have played a ridiculously easy schedule. Bill Belichick on Sunday became the third NFL head coach ever with 300 victories including playoffs. New England is 5-1 ATS in its past six on the road.

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore has one big advantage here in that it comes off the bye week and the Ravens entered it on a three-game winning streak to take control of the AFC North Division. Jackson threw for 324 yards and five touchdowns in a Week 1 blowout of Miami and hasn’t been that good of a passer since, but he also has three 100-yard rushing games – including the past two. He could have a 1,000-yard rushing season, sitting at 576 on just 83 carries.

The bye week came at a good time as rookie receiver Marquise Brown (ankle), linebacker Patrick Onwuasor (ankle) and cornerback Jimmy Smith (knee) all should return from injuries for this game. However, starting linebacker Pernell McPhee was lost for the season to a torn triceps suffered in a Week 7 upset in Seattle. He was second on the Ravens with three sacks. The Ravens have failed to cover their past six at home.

Who Will Win Patriots vs. Ravens?

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