Panthers vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 3 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Aug 20, 2019

Jarrett Stidham Patriots

The reigning Super Bowl champion Patriots have yet to be beaten this pre-season. Will that change Thursday night in Week 3 against the visiting Carolina Panthers?

August 22, 2019, 7:30 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread +4 -110
Moneyline +174
Over / Under o +42.5
Pointspread -4 -110
Moneyline -209
Over / Under u +42.5

The Pats are favoured by 3.5 points at Sports Interaction.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots

  • Carolina Panthers -110 +4
  • New England Patriots -110 -4

Once again, we want to remind readers/bettors that in theory, Week 3 is when an NFL team’s starters will play the longest in the pre-season, often the first half. That’s because none of them will in Week 4 so this is the final dress rehearsal for the regular season.

New England’s Bill Belichick will go down as probably the greatest head coach in league history in games that count … and he’s not too bad in the pre-season, either. In his Patriots tenure, the team is 45-35 in exhibition games. Belichick likes to win regardless of situation. His counterpart Thursday is Carolina’s Ron Rivera and he’s 19-15 in his pre-season career.

The Patriots have won seven of the past 10 exhibition games against the Panthers but lost 25-19 in Charlotte last year. Their last regular-season matchup was in 2017 and Carolina pulled off a sizable 33-30 road upset. Graham Gano hit a 48-yard field goal as time expired. Cam Newton threw for 316 yards and three scores, while his fellow former NFL MVP Tom Brady threw for 307 and two TDs.

Carolina Panthers

Carolina opened the pre-season with a 23-13 win in Chicago and then lost to the visiting Buffalo Bills 27-14 last week. Newton hasn’t played yet off shoulder surgery back in January. Everyone is itching to see his new throwing motion in a game. He is expected to play this week, as is star running back Christian McCaffrey and top linebacker Luke Kuechly, who starred in the New England area at Boston College.

Neither McCaffrey, a very popular top overall pick in fantasy drafts this year, nor Kuechly, have played yet this pre-season. All of the healthy starters are expected to play as Rivera thinks the Patriots are a good litmus test for his squad.

New England Patriots

The Patriots haven’t lost since Week 15 of last year, 17-10 at Pittsburgh. They would win their final two of the regular season and then roll to another Super Bowl title, the record sixth in the Brady/Belichick era. New England is 2-0 this pre-season, winning 31-3 in Detroit and 22-17 at Tennessee. Brady has yet to play – he seems likely to at least a bit on Thursday, but that’s no sure thing.

Fourth-round rookie QB Jarrett Stidham is showing he might be Brady’s eventual replacement. In the win over the Titans, Stidham was 14-for-19 for 193 yards and the game-winning touchdown pass to Damoun Patterson with 4:12 remaining. The Patriots are making a change at punter, releasing veteran Ryan Allen in favour of fifth-round Jake Bailey.

Top receiver Julian Edelman hasn’t played this pre-season due to a thumb injury but has been activated off the non-football injury list. The Pats also got Josh Gordon reinstated from suspension recently, but he remains on the non-football injury list.