Lions vs. Cowboys Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Sep 26, 2018

kerryon johnson

Rookie Kerryon Johnson looks like a he has what it takes to be a dangerous starting running back for the Detroit Lions. The Lions head to Dallas as 3-point underdogs.

Detroit
6-10
AT
September 30, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
Dallas
10-6
Pointspread +2.5 -115
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +44

54%

Betting Action

46%

Pointspread -2.5 -105
Moneyline -125
Over / Under u +44

54%

Betting Action

46%

The Dallas Cowboys boast one of the most impressive defences in the NFC, but can’t score enough points to make a difference. The Detroit Lions have done plenty of scoring, but can’t keep opponents out of their end zone. Two teams with two very different problems face off Sunday afternoon at AT&T Stadium – and oddsmakers have this one as a tightly-contested showdown, making the Cowboys a slight favourite by virtue of having home field.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This version of the Cowboys will look to fare better against the NFC South than previous ones. Dallas comes into the weekend having gone a dismal 2-7 ATS in its past nine home games against that division, though one of those covers came in a 42-21 win over Detroit back on Dec. 26, 2016. Meanwhile, the Lions have lost three straight games as a road underdog and was torched in all three, allowing an average 42 points in those defeats.

With the total at 43.5, it’s notable that these teams are headed in opposite directions on the O/U front. The Lions have gone above the number in seven of their previous nine games against NFC opponents, and are 5-2 O/U in their past seven road games. The Cowboys, on the other hand, have cashed the under in 11 of their last 12 games overall and are a red-hot 0-6 O/U in their past six outings against the NFC, with only one game surpassing 40 total points.

Detroit Lions

Kerryon Johnson might not have to pay a drink in Detroit for the rest of his life after putting up the Lions’ first 100-yard rushing game since Thanksgiving 2013. Yet, while Johnson’s 101-yard performance on the ground was a catalyst for the Lions’ 26-10 win over New England last week, bettors should be wary. Detroit has failed to cover five consecutive times after racking up at least 150 rushing yards in its previous game.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys had their own 100-yard rusher last week – and the name is familiar to most. Ezekiel Elliott rumbled for a season-high 127 yards against Seattle, but it wasn’t enough as the Cowboys ultimately dropped a 24-13 decision to the host Seahawks. Yet, while the Lions have been a poor cover option following a strong rushing game, Dallas is a perfect 4-0 ATS in its past four after racking up 150+ yards on the ground in its previous contest.

Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction

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