Lions vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Prediction, Pick

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 15, 2017

bears-lions-matthew-stafford

The Detroit Lions are doing their best to keep pace with the Minnesota Vikings atop the NFC North.

Detroit
9-7
AT
November 19, 2017, 1:00 PM ET
Soldier Field
Chicago
5-11
Pointspread -3.5 +100
Moneyline -185
Over / Under o +41

81%

Betting Action

19%

Pointspread +3.5 -120
Moneyline +155
Over / Under u +41

81%

Betting Action

19%

After two straight weeks where the Vikings also won, the Lions are running out of time to erase a two-game gulf in the standings as they visit Soldier Field for a date with the Chicago Bears. Detroit has hit its stride offensively with 68 points in back-to-back victories, and will look to build on that momentum against a Bears team that has dropped two in a row.

Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Chicago is getting a field goal as a home underdog, and given the Bears’ season-long struggles in the passing game, bettors might wonder why the Lions aren’t favoured by more. But Chicago has been a solid play against the spread (5-4 ATS), and has covered in eight of its previous 10 home games dating back to last season. The Bears have also provided game competition for superior opponents, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. teams with winning records.

You might have a hard time convincing bettors, however, with 90 percent of Sports Interaction participants taking the Lions in this one; a less convincing majority (73 percent) are taking the over on the 41-point total. But the under trends are strong in this one: The Lions have gone below the total in seven of their last eight games against teams with losing records, while the Bears have gone under in four of their previous five home games.

Detroit Lions

The Lions have notoriously slow starters in recent years, but have found a way to turn things on once Halloween is over. Detroit has won eight consecutive November games dating back to 2015, and covered in all eight. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has racked up 610 passing yards and five touchdowns in two November games, and will look to atone for a dismal showing in which he threw four interceptions in two games against Chicago last season.

Chicago Bears

The Bears didn’t ask rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky to do much in his first four NFL appearances – but all that changed last week, as Trubisky piled up 297 passing yards – 133 more than he had recorded in any other game. Yet, while Sunday’s encounter does look promising on the surface – the Lions allow the eighth-most passing yards per game – the Detroit secondary has been terrific, allowing just 11 TDs while snagging 11 interceptions.

Lions vs Bears Prediction

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