Jaguars vs. Cowboys Point Spread: NFL Week 6 Odds, Prediction

David Bastl | Updated Oct 11, 2018

blakebortles

There is common ground between these teams. Both are coming off road losses, and both are in decent position in their respective divisions, but looking for a win to improve their standings.

AT
October 14, 2018, 4:25 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
Dallas
10-6
Pointspread -3 -125
Moneyline -165
Over / Under o +39.5

75%

Betting Action

25%

Pointspread +3 +105
Moneyline +140
Over / Under u +39.5

75%

Betting Action

25%

These two non-conference teams have a limited history playing against each other. Oddsmakers have penciled in the visiting side Jaguars as 2.5-point favourites in this game.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Cowboys and Jaguars have played just six games against each other in the franchise’s history. Both teams have won three games each, the last game was back in 2014, where the Cowboys knocked off the Jaguars 31-17 in Jacksonville. A lot has changed since that day, and the roles have been reversed, as the Jags are still one of the favourites to come out of the AFC. Jacksonville is 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games after failing to cover in the previous game, but they have also lost four out of their last five games on the road. The Cowboys are coming off a loss, but have won four in a row after losing the previous game. They are also 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with winning records.

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are coming off their biggest loss (points wise) of their entire season, a 30-14 setback to the Kansas City Chiefs. Coming into the game, the Jags allowed an average of 14 points against in the previous four games, playing against notable offences (Patriots, Titans and Giants). Quarterback Blake Bortles put up some great yardage numbers (430 yards) but made too many mistakes (four interceptions versus Chiefs, and seven the entire season) to spoil some key drives.

Running back Leonard Fournette will not dress for this game against the Cowboys. The big back is still nursing a hamstring injury that has kept him out of the line-up three out of the first five games. There seems to be some concern with it as well, as they signed veteran RB Jamaal Charles to a contract. Last season he was a back-up with the Broncos but failed to land a contract this off-season. If he dresses for this game, it will strictly be as a back-up to T.Y. Yeldon, who will once again start in the Jaguars backfield. It should be interesting to see how well the Jags offensive line does this week, as rookie Josh Walker will make his first career NFL start at Left Tackle.

Dallas Cowboys

It’s been a rocky start to the 2018 season for the Dallas Cowboys. With a loss-win-loss-win-loss record, the team is definitely looking for consistency. Searching for some positives; how about the Cowboys 2-0 record on home turf this season? And then there’s Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott might be the only piece of the puzzle that has been full marks this season. The power back leads the NFL in rushing with 480 yards on the season. This week he faces a very good defence overall, but one that is only ranked 14th against the rush averaging 101.2 yards per game.

Question marks still remain on quarterback Dak Prescott, as he has thrown one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, there is nobody waiting in the wings to replace Prescott, so he will be given every opportunity to work his way out of the funk. On defence, the Cowboys have allowed 19.2 points per game, which is an impressive fifth in the NFL. This could be a low scoring game.

Jaguars vs. Cowboys Prediction

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